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Rogge said he expects China to finish first in the Beijing gold medal tally with between 50 to 60 golds and the United States to top the count in overall medals. Midway through Thursday's competitions, China had 45 golds and 81 total, while the United States had 27 gold and 83 overall.
Rogge said China's dominance is likely to continue for years to come.
"I think they are getting there on the top and it's going to be extremely difficult to change that," he said. "The world has to learn to live with a change of geopolitical nature."
Rogge also cited the surprising success of Britain, with 17 gold medals so far, as a boost ahead of the 2012 London Olympics.
"They have a generation that is already OK and ready for London 2012," he said.
Rogge said the relatively low number of doping cases in Beijing so far -- four athletes expelled and a fifth, heptathlon silver medalist Lyudmila Blonska of Ukraine, awaiting a ruling on a positive test -- showed that pre-games testing and other deterrents were paying off.
"I expect more international athletes got really frightened and scared about using doping," he said. "We are making progress. It's becoming far more difficult to cheat than it was before."
On other topics, Rogge:
Expressed concern about Russia's military intervention in Georgia and Abkhazia, a short distance away from Sochi, the host city of the 2014 Winter Olympics.
"It's not pleasant to think that about 25 kilometers from Sochi there is a potential region of instability in Abkhazia," he said. "The Russians have pledged total security and told us we should not be concerned about that. I could only hope these territorial conflicts can be solved as soon possible. That's the work of the politicians."
Said the IOC will begin negotiations on U.S. television rights for the 2014 and 2016 Olympics immediately after the Beijing Games, and expects at least four networks to bid. NBC, with a bid of $2.2 billion, beat out ESPN/ABC and Fox in 2003 for the rights to the 2010 and 2012 games.
"We had four bidders last time," Rogge said. "I would expect all of them to be back and more."
[Associated Press;
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