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Believe me, the entire world is watching this one. After the last
seven years they feel like they have been through a hedge backward.
As one TV Brit said: "If America catches cold, we get the flu." Or
a war. So everyone is watching this.
It appears to shake down to Mr. McCain versus either Ms. Clinton
or Mr. Obama. That makes the Democratic decision even more
significant. If you have a north-south lineup of Mr. McCain with
perhaps Mr. Guiliani, they would be the Republican winners. Then it
becomes a question of which potential candidate can overwhelm (or
edge past) that powerful combo.
My prediction is that if Hillary wins the Democratic nomination,
McCain will win the White House.
Why? Because as much as I prefer women professionals, a visible
character flaw has appeared on the Clinton side. The proof? The
announced desire to change the rules in Florida, etc. when it turned
to their advantage -- after initially agreeing to not count those
delegates for violating party rules.
And the Clinton personal attacks on Mr. Obama even turned off
people like Caroline Kennedy, who could prove to be a political Joan
of Arc. It was her decision that turned her Uncle Ted from neutral.
(The TV talking heads seemed to overlook Caroline's key role in this
as they focused on the war-horse senator.)
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Another prediction: The only leading Democratic presidential
candidate who would have any hope of beating Mr. McCain (a former
POW) would be Mr. Obama. It won't be easy, but only someone who has
shown the ability to bring in new voters, especially the young -- as
he has -- has a chance. His VP pick will be crucial. Otherwise, 2009
will start business with a Republican president and a Democratic
Congress.
The good news is that even the usually sound-asleep voters have
been jarred awake by global and economic harsh realities. These were
created on the Bush watch. They will have to be addressed and fixed
in the next presidential administration.
And it will be American voters making a decision that the whole
world is holding its collective breath over...
[Text from file received from
Global
American on behalf of Michael Fjetland]
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