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"At very low rates of interest, the stimulus that a reduction in bank rate could provide was likely to be much reduced," the minutes said. "Indeed, there might even be a point at which further cuts in bank rate could have an adverse impact on the economy, since banks and building societies maintained a spread between their deposit and lending rates to cover the costs of providing banking services and to make a return on capital." The Bank of England's forecasts, published last week, show the economy will contract at an annual 4 percent rate by the end of the first quarter and inflation will slow to 0.5 percent at the end of next year. Official figures out Tuesday showed a smaller-than-expected drop in annualized inflation to 3 percent in January, from 3.1 percent in December, but many economists still believe Britain is headed for destabilizing deflation. However, arch-dove David Blanchflower said rates should be lowered as far as possible "without delay," arguing that at least some of the larger cut would be passed on. "Historically, errors had been made by cutting too late rather than too soon," the U.S.-based policy maker argued, according to the minutes.
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