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In testimony to lawmakers on Tuesday, the Bank of England's governor Mervyn King said the medium-term risks to inflation remained to the downside as unemployment will continue to rise over the coming months even if the broader economy shows fledgling signs of recovery. Unemployment is widely considered to be a lagging indicator of economic developments. Despite a likely return to growth in the third quarter of 2009, King doubts that the recovery will be strong enough to create new jobs for some time to come. "As Mervyn King suggested yesterday, the recession may technically be coming to an end, but there is still a lag factor until the
'real' recession ends, and for U.K. businesses, the real recession is all that matters," said David Breger, a partner at chartered accountants HW Fisher & Co. The chief problem afflicting Britain's businesses remains the lack of available finance as lenders try to get their balance sheets in order following the banking crisis. "The big problem for Britain's businesses, the reason why so many of them are going bust and laying off staff, is the banks aren't lending," said Catherine Matthews, a partner at licensed insolvency practitioners Tomlinsons. "The funding and financial support needed to survive just isn't there," she said.
[Associated
Press;
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