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Analysts said automakers may rethink their production and procurement methods. Automakers could switch to using more than one supplier to reduce the cost of recalls by keeping down the numbers of cars involved, said Tatsuo Yoshida, analyst with UBS Securities. "Toyota is going to have to become more cautious," he said. "The most important test is whether Toyota can come out of this, preserving its image as an ethical company." But Ryoichi Saito, auto analyst at Mizuho Investors Securities Co. Ltd., thinks the trend toward standardizing parts is irreversible as global alliances become more common. "Toyota's problem could happen at any of the automakers," Saito said of big recalls. "To survive cutthroat global competition, Toyota must sell in volumes and save on costs." In another blow Thursday, Fitch Ratings placed Toyota's "A+" rating on watch negative, meaning it could be downgraded. "The recalls and sales and production suspension cast a negative light on Toyota's reputation for quality, just as the company emerges from an unprecedented downturn in the auto industry," said Jeong Min Pak, a Fitch senior director. "This could hamper the company's potential sales and profitability recovery, especially in the U.S. market," she said. The eight models, whose sales have been halted in the U.S., accounted for 57 percent of Toyota's U.S. sales last year, meaning that a one-week stoppage affects 20,000 vehicles, according to Fitch. Toyota had already expected to stay in the red for the fiscal year through March, because of the global slump and the rising yen. But it had been optimistic about reducing losses on the back of a gradual market recovery. Toyota had planned to sell 2.19 million vehicles in North America this year, up 11 percent from 2009, riding on the success of some of the very models like the Corolla and Camry, which are being recalled. Analysts are unsure how such predictions will hold up amid the recalls and production suspensions. Toyota shares slipped 3.9 percent in Tokyo trading to close at 3,560 yen ($39).
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