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The agency predicted GDP would rise by 1.3 percent this year and 2.8 percent in 2012. The government's rationale for establishing the Office for Budget Responsibility was to provide independent forecasts. Treasury Chief George Osborne has said the previous system could tempt the government to make overly optimistic assumptions to justify its spending ambitions. The National Institute for Economic and Social Research, a respected think tank, praised the OBR report for providing "much more detail than did the Treasury about what underlies the forecast." "The Office for Budget Responsibility's GDP growth forecasts look more realistic and defensible than the ones contained in the Labour government's March budget, although we still suspect they will turn out to be on the high side," said Howard Archer, economist at IHS Global Insight. More data on the state of the economy is due this week: inflation on Tuesday, unemployment and industrial production on Wednesday and retail sales on Thursday. ___ Online:
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