Wednesday, March 23, 2011
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A look at the AL Central race

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[March 23, 2011]  (AP) -- Capsules of what to expect from the American League Central division show few surprises.

AL CENTRAL

Minnesota Twins

2010: 94-68, first place, lost in first round.

Manager: Ron Gardenhire (10th season).

He's Here: INF Tsuyoshi Nishioka, LHP Dusty Hughes.

He's Outta There: RHP Matt Guerrier, RHP Jesse Crain, SS J.J. Hardy, 2B Orlando Hudson, INF Nick Punto.

Projected Lineup: CF Denard Span (.264, 3, 58, 26 SBs), 2B Tsuyoshi Nishioka (.346, 11, 59 RBIs, 121 runs, 22 SBs with Chiba Lotte in Japan), C Joe Mauer (.327, 9, 75, 43 2Bs), 1B Justin Morneau (.345, 18, 56 in 81 games), DH Jim Thome (.283, 25, 59, .412 OBP in 276 ABs) or Jason Kubel (.249, 21, 92), RF Michael Cuddyer (.271, 14, 81), LF Delmon Young (.298, 21, 112 RBIs, 46 2Bs), 3B Danny Valencia (.311, 7, 40 in 85 games), SS Alexi Casilla (.276, 1, 20 in 69 games).


Rotation: RH Carl Pavano (17-11, 3.75 ERA, 7 CGs), LH Francisco Liriano (14-10, 3.62, 201 Ks), RH Nick Blackburn (10-12, 5.42, .302 opponents' batting average), LH Brian Duensing (10-3, 2.62, 13 starts, 53 appearances), RH Scott Baker (12-9, 4.49).

Key Relievers: RH Joe Nathan (injured all last season, 2-2, 2.10, 47 saves in 2009), RH Kevin Slowey (13-6, 4.45 in 28 starts, LH Dusty Hughes (1-3, 3.83, 3 HR, 57 appearances with Kansas City), LH Jose Mijares (1-1, 3.31), RH Matt Capps (2-0, 2.00, 16 saves in 27 games after trade from Washington).

Hot Spots: 1B, 2B, SS, Nos. 3-5 starters, closer. Morneau missed the last four months of last season with a concussion and has gradually eased his way back this spring. Twins lineup is much different with him hitting cleanup. If he can't overcome the injury, Cuddyer will move from RF to 1B and Kubel will go to RF. The Twins are also breaking in a new middle infield after Hardy and Hudson were let go. Stepping in are Casilla and Nishioka, both of whom are unproven. They also need some consistency at the back end of their rotation after Blackburn, Baker and Slowey all struggled to be reliable for most of last season. Nathan was an All-Star before missing the entire 2010 season after reconstructive surgery on his elbow, and Twins hope he regains his form.

Outlook: The Tigers and White Sox made big moves in the offseason in hopes of chasing down the two-time defending division champions. But the Twins always seem to find a way to be in the race in September, and that doesn't figure to change this year -- unless Mauer and Morneau are out of the lineup. Mauer had arthroscopic knee surgery in the offseason and didn't start catching in spring training until last week. He begins the first season of an eight-year, $184 million contract extension, the biggest sign yet that the Twins are no longer a small-market club thanks to cash cow Target Field, which opened last season.

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Chicago White Sox

Manager: Ozzie Guillen (8th season).

2010: 88-74, second place.

He's Here: DH Adam Dunn, RHP Jesse Crain, LHP Will Ohman.

He's Outta There: RHP Bobby Jenks, RHP Freddy Garcia, DH Manny Ramirez.

Projected lineup: LF Juan Pierre (.275, 1, 47, 68 SBs), 2B Gordon Beckham (.252, 9, 49), DH Adam Dunn (.260, 39, 103, 199 Ks with Washington), 1B Paul Konerko (.312, 39, 111), CF Alex Rios (.284, 21, 88, 34 SBs), RF Carlos Quentin (.243, 26, 87), C A.J. Pierzynski (.270, 9, 56), SS Alexei Ramirez (.282, 18, 70), 3B Brent Morel (.231, 3, 7 in 21 games) or Mark Teahen (.258, 4, 25 in 77 games).

Exterminator

Rotation: LH Mark Buehrle (13-13, 4.28, 210 1-3 IP, 246 hits allowed), LH John Danks (15-11, 3.72, 213 IP), RH Gavin Floyd (10-13, 4.08), RH Edwin Jackson (6-10, 5.16 ERA in 21 starts with Arizona; 4-2, 3.24 in 11 starts with White Sox), RH Jake Peavy (7-6, 4.63 in 17 starts) or RH Phil Humber (2-1, 4.15 in 8 games with Kansas City).

Key Relievers: LH Matt Thornton (5-4, 2.67 in 61 appearances, 8 saves), RH Jesse Crain (1-1, 3.04 in 71 appearances with Minnesota), LH Will Ohman (0-0, 3.30 in 51 games with Baltimore; 0-2, 3.00 in 17 games with Florida), RH Tony Pena (5-3, 5.10), RH Sergio Santos (2-2, 2.96), LH Chris Sale (2-1, 1.93, 4 saves in 21 games).

Hot Spots: 3B, No. 5 starter, closer. Morel's glove may have won him the starting 3B job over Teahen, who played only 77 games in his first season with the White Sox because of injuries. Morel was a late callup but impressed the White Sox. Peavy, recovering from surgery to repair a detached muscle behind his shoulder, made great strides to rejoin the rotation before a sore rotator cuff slowed him late in the spring. Jenks is gone to the Red Sox -- he took some shots at Guillen for his handling of the bullpen last year -- and Thornton is going to get the role at the beginning of the season. He signed a two-year, $12 million extension this spring.

Overlook: All in. That's the White Sox motto after a productive offseason that could push their payroll over $125 million. Instead of rebuilding, they decided to spend what they needed to make a run at Minnesota in the AL Central. They signed Dunn and relievers Crain and Ohman, brought back veterans Konerko and Pierzynski and gave Ramirez a new deal. And they also picked up Guillen's option for 2012. Guillen and general manager Ken Williams, at odds last season after Guillen's son, Oney, toasted the front office on Twitter, have patched up their differences. The White Sox are counting on Beckham playing like he did as a rookie two years ago, hoping Dunn can adjust to being a DH and take advantage of the friendly fences at U.S. Cellular Field. They're also looking for Quentin to return to his form of 2008 when he was an MVP candidate before a self-induced wrist injury forced him out the final month. Their biggest concern now is what they thought would be their strength -- the rotation. Opening-day starter Buehrle is entering the final year of his contract and has been prone to big run and high hits totals after pitching at least 200 innings for 10 straight years. Peavy's health continues to be a concern, as it has been ever since he joined the team at the trading deadline in 2009. The bullpen appears to be a strength with three lefties, including the gangly 6-6 Sale, who was called up two months after being drafted last June and was an immediate success with his 100 mph fastball.

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Detroit Tigers

2010: 81-81, third place.

Manager: Jim Leyland (6th season).

He's Here: C-DH Victor Martinez, RHP Brad Penny, RHP Joaquin Benoit.

He's Outta There: OF Johnny Damon, RHP Armando Galarraga, RHP Jeremy Bonderman, C Gerald Laird, LHP Bobby Seay, RHP Zach Miner, RHP Eddie Bonine, RHP Alfredo Figaro.

Projected Lineup: CF Austin Jackson (.293, 4, 41, 27 SBs), LF Ryan Raburn (.280, 15, 62), RF Magglio Ordonez (.303, 12, 59 in 84 games), 1B Miguel Cabrera (.328, 38, 126 AL leader), DH Victor Martinez (.302, 20, 79 with Boston), SS Jhonny Peralta (.249, 15, 81 with Tigers and Cleveland), 3B Brandon Inge (.247, 13, 70), C Alex Avila (.228, 7, 31), 2B Will Rhymes (.304, 1, 19).

Rotation: RH Justin Verlander (18-9, 3.37 ERA, 219 Ks), RH Max Scherzer (12-11, 3.50), RH Rick Porcello (10-12, 4.92), LH Phil Coke (7-5, 3.76 as a reliever), RH Brad Penny (3-4, 3.23 in nine starts with St. Louis Cardinals).

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Cleveland Indians

2010: 69-93, fourth place.

Manager: Manny Acta (2nd season).

He's Here: INF Orlando Cabrera, OF Travis Buck, INF Adam Everett, 3B Jack Hannahan, OF Austin Kearns, RHP Joe Martinez, RHP Doug Mathis, C Paul Phillips.

He's Outta There: INF Andy Marte, C Chris Gimenez.

Projected Lineup: CF Grady Sizemore (.211, 0, 13 in 33 games), SS Asdrubal Cabrera (.276, 3, 29 in 97 games), RF Shin-Soo Choo (.300, 14, 66, 22 SBs), C Carlos Santana (.260, 6, 22 in 46 games), DH Travis Hafner (.278, 13, 50), 2B Orlando Cabrera (.263, 4, 42 with Cincinnati), 1B Matt LaPorta (.221, 12, 41), 3B Jason Donald (.253, 4, 24 in 88 games), LF Michael Brantley (.246, 3, 22, 10 SBs in 72 games).

Rotation: RH Fausto Carmona (13-14, 3.77), RH Justin Masterson (6-13, 4.70 -- 2.86 in last 13 games), RH Carlos Carrasco (2-2, 3.83 in 7 starts), Mitch Talbot (10-13, 4.41 as rookie), RH Josh Tomlin (6-4, 4.56 in 12 starts).

Key Relievers: RH Chris Perez (2-2, 1.71, 23 saves in 27 chances, 0.53 ERA in last 33 games), RH Chad Durbin (4-1, 3.80 in 64 games for Philadelphia), RH Joe Smith (2-2, 3.83), LH Rafael Perez (6-1, 3.25, team-high 70 outings).

Hot Spots: Sizemore's not opening the season with the Indians as he recovers from microfracture knee surgery. The club is keeping its fingers crossed that the 28-year-old can again be the full-steam-ahead All-Star that made him one of baseball's most exciting players. The pressure's on LaPorta, who hasn't lived up to expectations since he was acquired in the 2009 trade for CC Sabathia. In fairness, LaPorta never completely recovered last season after undergoing two operations the previous winter. He's in better baseball shape, and his bat looks quick again. Cleveland needs him to be a thumper.


Outlook: Acta's infectious energy is perfect for the majors' youngest club. Last season, injuries to Sizemore, Santana and Asdrubal Cabrera forced the Indians to bring up minor leaguers before they were ready. But that baptism by fire could pay dividends this season. Acta expects the Indians to win -- now -- and he has told them that since training camp opened. No excuses. Carmona bounced back nicely after an awful '09 and anchors a rotation that needs someone else to emerge as a double-digit winner. It could be Carrasco, who can effectively control four pitches. The Indians need their young players to step up and blossom together. That's what happened in the early 1990s, setting the stage for Cleveland's dominant run in the AL Central.

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Kansas City Royals

2010: 67-95, last place.

Manager: Ned Yost (2nd full season).

He's Here: OF Jeff Francoeur, OF Melky Cabrera, LHP Jeff Francis, RHP Vin Mazzaro, SS Alcides Escobar.

He's Outta There: RHP Zack Greinke, OF David DeJesus, SS Yuniesky Betancourt, RHP Brian Bannister, RHP Gil Meche, LHP Dusty Hughes.

Projected Lineup: 3B Mike Aviles (.304, 8, 32), 2B Chris Getz (.237, 0, 18), DH Billy Butler (.318, 15, 78), 1B Kila Ka'aihue (.217, 8, 25), RF Jeff Francoeur (.237, 11, 54 with Mets, .340, 2, 11 with Texas), CF Melky Cabrera (.255, 4, 42 with Atlanta), LF Alex Gordon (.215, 8, 20), C Brayan Pena (.253, 1, 19), SS Alcides Escobar (.235, 4, 41).

Rotation: RH Luke Hochevar (6-6, 4.81), LH Jeff Francis (4-6, 5.00 with Colorado), RH Kyle Davies (8-12, 5.34), LH Bruce Chen (12-7, 4.17), RH Vin Mazzaro (6-8, 4.27 with Oakland).

Key Relievers: RH Joakim Soria (1-2, 1.78, 43 saves in 46 chance), RH Robinson Tejeda (3-5, 3.54), RH Sean O'Sullivan (3-6, 6.11 in 14 games after Royals got him in July trade with Angels).

Hot Spots: CF, RF, LF, rotation, bullpen outside of Soria and Tejeda. The Royals need free-agent signees Francoeur and Cabrera to have bounce-back years after disappointing 2010 seasons. The Royals moved Gordon from 3B to the OF last year, and are growing impatient for his breakout season offensively. With Greinke trade to the Brewers, they're hoping Hochevar, the first pick in the 2006 draft, will make a quantum leap. Bullpen will be inexperienced with exception of All-Star closer Soria and dependable setup man Tejeda.

Water

Outlook: Kansas City will likely have the lowest payroll in the majors and yet another losing season. They've had only one winning season since 1994 and have not made the playoffs since winning the 1985 World Series. Help, however, is on the way with a farm system said by Baseball America to be the deepest in the land. 3B Mike Moustakas, 1B Eric Hosmer, LHPs Mike Montgomery, Will Smith, Chris Dwyer and John Lamb, RHP Jake Odorizzi, INF Christian Colon, OF Wil Myers and C Salvador Perez are all blue-chip prospects and some could make their big league debut before the end of the season. Royals will likely not end their playoff drought this season, but by 2013-14 they could be contenders if the "can't-miss" prospects pan out.

[Associated Press]

Copyright 2011 The Associated Press. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten or redistributed.

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