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Baroin said the growth estimate of 1.5 percent for next year was "probably too high." The 2012 budget is being debated in parliament Tuesday.
Baroin said the government would do everything to avoid a recession and a downgrade of its coveted triple A rating.
On Monday, ratings agency Moody's said it will be studying France's rating over the next three months amid concerns about French banks and the cost of bailing out other eurozone nations.
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