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Illinois still seven years away from full jobs recovery

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[October 10, 2014]  By Brady Cremeens
 
 SPRINGFIELD — It will take Illinois at least seven more years to fully recover from the 2008 recession, according to new numbers released this week.

There are 300,000 fewer Illinoisans working today than in 2008 when the Great Recession began, says data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. While 25 states have fully recovered their losses from the recession, Illinois remains the furthest away from full recovery than any state in the country.

Since the technical end of the recession in 2009, Illinois has experienced some of the worst employment recoveries and economic growth rates in the country, the BLS numbers indicate, and the jobs lost from 2008-2009 won’t be fully gained back until 2021, 12 years after the recession ended.

To explain the slow growth, Vice President and COO of the Illinois Manufactures Association, IMA, Mark Denzler says the state has, over the course of several years, created an unfriendly business climate that stifles progress. IMA is a business and manufacturing industry advocacy group.

“Our state faces a multi-billion budget deficit and employers are uncertain about if they’ll be hit with higher taxes and regulations,” Denzler said. “That uncertainty kills growth.”

 



Denzler also said the November ballot referendum regarding a tax on Illinois’ highest earners could be damaging to growth as well.

“If legislation comes of the millionaires’ tax, it will definitely harm businesses,” he said, noting that business owners have to make decisions based on various factors including the cost of labor, production, and what percentage of profit goes to the government in the form of taxes.

Denzler said that taking more money away from high earners – the kind of people who generally start and run businesses – affects business growth because many put their own money into new businesses, or existing business expansion.

“These policies don’t just exist in a vacuum” he said. “They have ripple effects and consequences.”

Brent Hickman is an assistant professor of economics at the University of Chicago and says many factors affect Illinois’ slow growth rate.

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“There’s never just one or even a couple reasons why some states perform more poorly than others,” Hickman said. “And it’s not like politicians are sitting around trying to come up with ways to make things worse. It’s just hard to come to consensus on what makes them better.”

Hickman also said that while Illinois has struggled, there are signs of improvement.

“The unemployment rate is dropping,” he said. “That much is true. I think we’re on the right path. It’s just going to take some time.”

The slow recovery numbers are coupled with news this week from eight Illinois companies accounting employee layoffs totaling more than 600 workers in the next few months.

The companies include Microsoft, Nokia, Jim’s Formal Wear, Anchor Coupling, Inc. and Ball Metal Beverage Packaging.

State Sen. and U.S. senatorial candidate Jim Oberweis, R-Sugar Grove, blames the slow recovery on poor business policies that make Illinois an unwise place to expand.

“High taxes, a burdensome regulatory code and incredibly high (workers) comp rates just kill business growth in Illinois,” the senator said. “There isn’t some big secret to success. Right now there’s just too many restrictions on starting a business or growing an existing one. We’ve made it very difficult for people to find good work in our state and that’s a shame.”

The data suggests that Illinois’ slow recovery hasn’t been a consistent pattern, but that employment growth was slowed by more than 60 percent directly after the 2011 income take increase.

During the Great Recession, approximately 500,000 Illinoisans lost work. In the five years since it ended, only 200,000 have found jobs again.

[This article courtesy of Watchdog.]

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