Danica improving, but does she lack winning edge?

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[March 31, 2015]  By Jonathan Ingram, The Sports Xchange
 
 Danica improving, but does she lack winning edge?

Is it a cause for celebration when Danica Patrick finishes in the Top 10 and beats her teammates at Stewart Haas Racing and the Hendrick Motorsports Chevy drivers as well?

Finishing seventh behind winner Denny Hamlin at the Martinsville Speedway on Sunday mostly meant Patrick is getting closer to the front at the finish - her previous best at the Virginia track being 12th. (Her career best overall in 88 starts was a sixth in Atlanta last year.) Will she ever get to the top of the heap in a Sprint Cup race when the checkered flag falls?

Racing is an odd business when it comes to predictions. So far in her career Patrick has been consistent, gradually pulling up her average starting position and her average finishing position. Her career numbers for those two categories are relatively similar to those of Ricky Stenhouse Jr., Trevor Bayne and Austin Dillon, all of whom have a similar number of starts. When compared to fellow Indy car refugees A.J. Allmendinger and Sam Hornish, Jr., Patrick's average start and finish numbers are also comparable.

But, not one of these drivers is considered a threat to win when the command to start engines is given - unless it's on a road course, where Allmendinger has scored one victory. Instead, the expectation is these drivers may turn in an outstanding finish on any given day.


It should be pointed out that Bayne has also won a race - the Daytona 500 during the one-off tandem draft era - and that Stenhouse's best finish was a third at Talladega. Dillon has finished fourth at Daytona. But Patrick has yet to threaten to take home the checkers as the closing laps wind down.

No matter what the era, winning drivers in NASCAR's top series consistently finish in the Top 5 before making a breakthrough. The talent and aggression shows early, particularly among drivers who are championship material. For Patrick, who clearly has the talent to race in the Sprint Cup, what has been missing is the aggression. She has spent a career in IndyCar and in NASCAR sustaining major sponsorship in part by avoiding getting tagged as The Female Driver Who Crashes.

Patrick's approach has been to index up to competitiveness by gradually improving. Her focus has been on getting the car right and if it's not right, then making changes during the course of a race. When it comes to the big picture, Patrick said she spent her first year at Stewart Haas trying to get the personnel and equipment she needed to be competitive.

"A couple of years ago, if you had asked about how we all felt about how it was going, there wouldn't have been a lot of positive things to say," said Patrick in the post-race media conference at Martinsville. "That's an example of an organization digging deep and finding ways. By all means the last couple of years we've been a lot stronger and we've been a much better team and we're having a lot more fun out there."

Patrick praised her new crew chief, Daniel Knost, who took over this year from Tony Gibson, and the team's three engineers. She said the car arrives at the track with better preparation on chassis set-up and that communication with Knost about mid-race adjustments during pit stops has been improving.

"I can't do well if the team doesn't provide the people and the equipment that I need to perform," she said.

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Patrick's approach while driving for the teams of Bobby Rahal and Michael Andretti in IndyCar was similar in terms of demanding internally what she needed to be competitive. How much that process included making sure team members believed in the ability of a woman to win races is an open question. But Patrick was never shy about leveraging the fact she brought budget through sponsorship to a team and that everyone would benefit if she was given the technical support she wanted.

She believes she has that support in the Sprint Cup for a second straight season. "Daniel and I have a very good working relationship," said Patrick. "Don't get me wrong. We get along great and have a lot of fun."

Still, there's the nagging question about whether Patrick pushes hard enough behind the wheel. True to form, Patrick did not charge her way to the front at Martinsville, where the usual front runners from Stewart Haas and Hendrick all had issues or chose poor pit strategy. Instead, after a slow start when the car wasn't working well, Patrick advanced by hitting her marks on the track, proper adjustments on pit stops and good pit strategy.

The strategy did not start out well. Knost gambled early by electing to skip a pit stop for fresh tires during an early caution in order to re-start at the front.

"We weren't very good at the start," said Patrick. "We took a chance and stayed out and we ended up going backward in a hurry," said Patrick. "I was not happy on the radio."

Once the handling of the chassis improved, despite some difficulty turning in the corners Patrick motored to seventh while others guessed wrong on a late caution coming out, including her team co-owner Tony Stewart. She declared the results a good "ego boost" for herself and the team. Indeed, racing 500 laps at Martinsville and bringing a complete car back to the garage in the Top 10 is a major accomplishment. Alas, what about the prospects for a victory?



Unlike IndyCar, where Patrick's lone victory came on the daunting Twin Ring Motegi oval in Japan, the Sprint Cup competition is deep. A driver generally has to learn how to lose a race or two after getting close at the finish before he or she can win versus a plethora of veterans who have been to victory lane before.

So far, Patrick has yet to demonstrate the needed aggressiveness behind the wheel to put herself in position for a win.

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