Fall 2015 Logan County
Farm Outlook Magazine

Climate change - Is it real?
By Angela Reiners

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[November 06, 2015]  The debate over climate change and its causes has gone on for decades with research indicating that people are almost evenly divided on the issue. Though some say human activities have caused climate change that results in problems like global warming, stronger storms, and more droughts, others believe climate changes are a result of natural processes.

Surveys illustrate the divide and incongrous conflict over the issue. For example, in a 2013 national 'Climate Change in the American Mind' poll the public perception, especially as it relates to global warming, found "1 in 4 Americans think that global warming is not happening, and half say they are "worried" about it."

A 2015 survey by the Yale Project on Climate Change Communications indicated, "63% of Americans believe global warming is happening, and 48% believe that human activity is primarily responsible."

An Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change's 2014 synthesis report said, "Human influence on the climate systems is clear." And that, "Recent climate changes have had widespread impacts on human and natural systems."

Due to the controversial nature of the topic, public schools are not required to teach climate change, and those who do present the evidence to children, allow them to investigate and make their own decision about the issue

Devin Biggs, a meteorology student at Western Illinois University, said that what he has learned is the weather cycles in patterns that bring both warm and cool cycles. He say they are not being taught about climate change. Bigg said, "I don't think climate change as they define it is real, but I do believe we see these cycles. El Niño (that we're in now) and La Niña are big influences of that pattern."

Chris Miller, who works in Lincoln for the National Meteorology Service says, "NOAA's perspective on climate change is that we are seeing signs of a changing climate in some parts of the world, particularly at the poles and in the higher latitudes. The potential impacts of this are still being studied." He says, "The influence of human activity has played a role. However, it is important to remember that our atmosphere is highly complex, so other factors need to be analyzed."

According to a Scientific American article "U.S. Farmers View Climate Change as Just Another Weather Challenge," farmers have become accustomed to bad weather that includes both drought and torrential rains, and many "don't think humanity is to blame for the long-term shifts in weather patterns known as climate change." They are likely to view climate change as something that has always occurred as a part of natural weather patterns

No matter what the cause is, the general consensus among many scientific societies is that the planet has become warmer in the past century.

Miller says, "Data from the past century points to significant warming at the high latitudes of the Arctic, North America, Asia and Europe. However, we have seen very little warming in the Midwestern and Southern U.S. over the past century," though he does note that "in the Midwest we have experienced slightly warmer temperatures from late Winter through the Spring during the past 100 years." Miller says that when we just analyze a century of data, "there are a lot of assumptions being made."

For people who believe humans influence climate change, agriculture is seen as one cause of the increase in greenhouse gases with "CO2 emissions linked to deforestation in temperate regions: where forests and woodlands are cleared to make room for fields and pastures, . . [m]ethane emissions from rice cultivations and enteric fermentation in cattle. . . and [n]itrous oxide emissions from fertilizer applications" according to the Climate Institute.

According to Monsanto, agriculture is one of the first areas to be affected by changes in our environment. Rising temperatures, extreme weather, and drought are just a few of the issues agriculture must deal with in order to feed mankind. The company asserts, "Some effects of agriculture—such as the greenhouse gases produced by farm machinery and the production of fertilizer—are contributing factors. And of course, agriculture itself can suffer from the effects of climate change." Other thoughts are that "Agriculture needs to adapt to changing conditions and use farming techniques that reduce the impact of our changing climate."

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Studies by the University of Illinois College of Agriculture, Consumer, and Environmental Sciences indicate that climate change may adversely affect farming, such as a fungus that causes charcoal rot. ACES Molecular biologist Osman Radwan postulates, "As the climate continues to change and we see more extremes in the weather, including hotter, drier summers, this fungus will have more favorable conditions to gain a foothold in soybean and other crops."

Other possible impacts, both positive and negative, have been noted by the Climate Institute. They state that "climate change could result in a variety of impacts on agriculture," with possible effects including:

  • A shift in climate and agricultural zones towards the poles.

  • Changes in production patterns due to higher temperatures.

  • A boost in agricultural productivity due to increased carbon dioxide in the atmosphere.

  • Changing precipitation patterns.

  • Increased vulnerability of the landless and the poor.

Food production and crop yields could also be adversely affected by climate changes such as droughts or heavy rainfall. A report by the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations explains that, "Under the IPCC emissions scenarios, higher temperatures are projected to affect all aspects of the hydrological cycle. More frequent and severe droughts and floods are already apparent, and their impact increases as a growing population becomes more dependent upon a set of atmospheric andhydrological circulations." The FAOUN further believes that, "Climate change will impact the extent and productivity of both irrigated and rainfed agriculture across the globe."


As Chris Miller said, "Weather is highly variable and very local. Just because we are not experiencing major impacts of a changing climate, does not mean it is not impacting other parts of the world." He also says, "it is prudent to at least plan for 'worst case' scenarios. It doesn't mean they will absolutely occur, it just means that we can be prepared for a potentially uncertain future. Finally, we ALL benefit from being "stewards" of our planet by improving the air we breathe, the fresh water we need to survive, and the soils to grow our food."

[Angela Reiners]

See more at:

 http://environment.yale.edu/climate-communication/article/Climate-Beliefs-November-2013/#sthash.0jfKmXd8.dpuf 


http://environment.yale.edu/poe/v2014/

 

Read all the articles in our new
Fall 2015 Logan County
Farm Outlook magazine

Title
CLICK ON TITLES TO GO TO PAGES
Page
Harvest 2015 4
Weather kicked Logan County agriculture twice in 2015 6
The problem of ponding 12
What WOTUS might mean to Logan County producers 18
When conditions shorten the season 22
At the elevator 30
How did the 2015 corn bean ratio shift? 36
How drones can help 40
Climate change - Is it real? 45

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