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Trump's
probability of winning the nomination fell to 44 percent on
Friday from 67 percent a week ago, according to the website,
which is run by Victoria University in Wellington, New Zealand.
For Republican rival Ted Cruz, a U.S. Senator from Texas, it
rose to 34 percent from 14 percent during the same period.
The probability that the Republicans will have a brokered
convention to decide the nominee for the Nov. 8 election jumped
to 69 percent from 43 percent a week ago, according to
PredictIt, an online predictions market where users place money
on who they think will win the election. Many users are from the
United States.
Celebrity businessman Trump is facing pressure to take a more
serious approach to his presidential campaign from supporters
worried that a string of recent missteps and controversial
comments may do lasting damage.
A Cruz win in Tuesday's primary in Wisconsin would make it
harder for Trump to reach the 1,237 delegates needed to clinch
the nomination before the Republican national convention in
July.
If Trump does not win enough delegates, then the party faces
the prospect of holding a contested, or brokered, convention in
which party leaders try to negotiate nominating a compromise
candidate.
(Reporting by Anjali Athavaley; Editing by Alistair Bell)
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