"Bear capitulation" as investors pile back into stocks: BAML

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[July 15, 2016]  By Jamie McGeever

LONDON (Reuters) - Investors last week poured the most cash into global equity funds since October last year and the second highest amount ever into emerging market bond funds, Bank of America Merrill Lynch said on Friday.

These flows reflect the continued scramble for returns in a world of evaporating bond yields, together with the partial lifting of the gloom that had shrouded financial markets since Britain's vote last month to leave the European Union.

"Investors have shunned equity funds year-to-date, but are now stampeding into the asset class for fear of missing out," BAML's global strategy team, led by Michael Hartnett in New York, wrote in a note titled "Bear Capitulation" on Friday.

They poured $10.8 billion into equity funds in the week ending July 13, the highest in nine months, almost entirely driven by the $12.6 billion net inflow into U.S. funds, the most since September last year.

The S&P 500 hit a record high of 2,168.99 points this week <.SPX>, up 9 percent from the lows struck in the days after Britain's June 23 EU referendum. The S&P 500 is up for three consecutive weeks for the first time since March.

The equity outlier was Europe, where stock funds posted a record outflow of $5.8 billion, BAML said. That was their 23rd consecutive weekly outflow.

Globally, investors have pulled a net $123 billion out of equity funds so far this year, according to BAML.

Emerging market bond funds drew a net $2.7 billion in the week to July 13, second only to the $3.4 billion net inflow recorded the week before.

The hunt for yield was clearly reflected in the $2.1 billion poured into high-yield bond funds on Monday July 11, the highest daily inflow on record, which led to a hefty $4.4 billion net inflow for the week.

Investment grade bond funds drew net inflows for the 19th consecutive week ($1.8 billion) and municipal bond funds attracted their 43rd straight weekly inflow ($800 million), BAML said.

Global sovereign bond yields last week slumped to the lowest ever levels, the most notable move being the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield's fall to a record low 1.32 percent <US10YT=RR>.

Precious metals funds drew a net $800 million inflow in the latest week, the 25th inflow from the past 27 weeks, BAML said.

(Reporting by Jamie McGeever; Editing by Keith Weir)

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