U.S. producer prices post biggest drop in 11 months

[August 10, 2017]  WASHINGTON (Reuters) - U.S. producer prices unexpectedly fell in July, recording their biggest drop in nearly a year, weighed down by declining costs for services and energy products.

The Labor Department said on Thursday its producer price index for final demand slipped 0.1 percent last month, reversing June's 0.1 percent gain. July's drop was the largest since August 2016.

In the 12 months through July the PPI increased 1.9 percent after rising 2.0 percent in the year through June. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast the PPI ticking up 0.1 percent last month and climbing 2.2 percent from a year ago.

Though the link between the PPI and the consumer price index has weakened, last month's drop in producer prices could worry Federal Reserve officials who have long argued that the moderation in inflation was temporary.

Fed Chair Janet Yellen told lawmakers last month that "some special factors" were partly responsible for the low inflation readings. Inflation, which has remained below the U.S. central bank's 2 percent target for five years, is being watched for clues on the timing of the next Fed interest rate increase.

The U.S. central bank is expected to announce a plan to start shrinking its $4.2 trillion portfolio of Treasury bonds and mortgage-backed securities at its policy meeting next month.

But low inflation, characterized by sluggish wage growth, suggests the Fed could delay raising rates again until December. It has increased borrowing costs twice this year.

 A shopper looks at items on sale inside of a JC Penney store during Black Friday sales in New York, November 29, 2013. REUTERS/Lucas Jackson/File Photo

Last month, prices for services fell 0.2 percent, the first decline since February. That accounted for more than 80 percent of the decrease in the PPI. Services were weighed down by a 0.5 percent drop in the index for final demand trade services. Services had increased for four straight months.

The cost of healthcare services rose 0.3 percent after being unchanged in June. Those costs feed into the Fed's preferred inflation measure, the core personal consumption expenditures price index.

Energy prices fell 0.3 percent, declining for a third straight month. Food prices were unchanged in July following a 0.6 percent jump in the prior month.

A key gauge of underlying producer price pressures that excludes food, energy and trade services was unchanged last month. The so-called core PPI gained 0.2 percent in June.

Core goods fell 0.1 percent in July after increasing for eight straight months. The core PPI increased 1.9 percent in the 12 months through July after advancing 2.0 percent in June.

(Reporting by Lucia Mutikani; Editing by Paul Simao)

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