Britain faces food shortages in no-deal Brexit scenario, industry body
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[August 07, 2019]
By Kate Holton and Guy Faulconbridge
LONDON (Reuters) - Britain will experience
shortages of some fresh foods for weeks or even months if a disorderly
no-deal Brexit leaves perishable produce rotting in lorries at ports,
Britain's food and drink lobby warned on Wednesday.
Retailers such as Tesco <TSCO.L> have warned that leaving the European
Union on Oct. 31 without a transition deal would be problematic as so
much fresh produce is imported and warehouses are stocked full ahead of
The industry - which employs 450,000 people in the United Kingdom -
views Brexit as the biggest challenge since World War Two, dwarfing
previous crises such as the horse meat scandal of 2013 and the mad cow
disease outbreaks of the 1980s and 1990s.
"We're not going to starve but there will be shortages of fresh food and
some specialist ingredients. It's going to be a little bit
unpredictable," the Food and Drink Federation's Chief Operating Officer
Tim Rycroft told Reuters.
"Given that food very often is perishable and has a short shelf life, we
expect that there will be some selective shortages of food in the weeks
and months following no-deal Brexit," Rycroft said. "There will be some
shortages and price rises."
Part of the problem is that Brexit could change everything - or,
Ahead of the original Brexit deadline of March 29, supermarkets and
retailers spent millions of pounds preparing for Brexit and working with
suppliers to increase stocks of dried goods including pasta, bottled
water and toilet paper.
After three years of Brexit discussion, it is still unclear on what
terms the United Kingdom will leave the European Union with options
ranging from a last-minute exit deal or delay to an acrimonious divorce
that would knot the sinews of trade.
Prime Minister Boris Johnson has repeatedly warned the European Union
that unless it agrees to do a fresh divorce deal then he will lead the
country out of the bloc on Oct. 31 without a deal.
BREXIT AT HALLOWEEN
As winter approaches, the United Kingdom becomes more dependent on
imported food so a Halloween no-deal Brexit is potentially more
Britain imports around 60 percent of its food by the beginning of
November - just the time that delays caused by a no-deal Brexit could be
clogging up ports and motorways, Rycroft said.
Fresh fruit and vegetables, which have a short shelf-life of only a few
days, cannot be stored for long so any checks at Calais could lead to
significant disruption at Dover, Britain's biggest port.
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Fruit and vegetables sit in cold storage at the New Covent Garden
wholesale market in London, Britain, February 3, 2018. REUTERS/Simon
Rycroft said they estimated that the cost of preparing for a no-deal
exit, including reserving warehouse space, using alternative
distributors and losing orders in congested ports, would cost the
industry up to 100 million pounds ($121 million) a week.
"A lot of money will be spent," Rycroft said, referring to how the
industry prepared for two previous Brexit deadlines in March and
"Having marched the industry up the hill twice and down again, we're
now mobilizing and actually 31st of October looks a more realistic
prospect than a no-deal Brexit than either of the two previous
A spokeswoman for the government said it was working to support the
industry. "The UK will be leaving the EU on 31 October and our top
priority is supporting consumers and businesses in their
preparations for Brexit."
The UK food and drink industry accounts for 19% of the manufacturing
sector by turnover and employs over 450,000 people in Britain across
7,000 businesses including Associated British Foods Plc <ABF.L>,
Nestle <NESN.S> and PepsiCo <PEP.O>.
Some of the bigger companies have tested different ports to avoid
the main route of Dover-Calais while pharmaceutical companies have
reserved air freight capacity to fly in supplies if needed.
The trade body has urged the government to waive some competition
rules to allow retailers and suppliers to be able to work together
to provide the most effective coverage for the country in such a
Rycroft said the industry had repeatedly asked the government to
provide a guarantee that companies would not be fined for engaging
in anti-competitive behavior.
Brexit supporters say there may be short-term disruption from a
no-deal exit but that the UK will thrive if cut free from what they
cast as a doomed experiment in integration that has led to Europe
falling behind China and the United States.
Rolls-Royce <RR.L> said on Tuesday it was ready to cope with the
fallout from a disorderly Brexit after the aero-engine maker spent
around 100 million pounds to increase inventory among other
($1 = 0.8235 pounds)
(Writing by Guy Faulconbridge and Kate Holton; Editing by Alison
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