“What If?”

[APRIL 10, 2000]  “What If?  The World’s Foremost Military Historians Imagine What Might Have Been.”  Robert Cowley, editor, G. P. Putnam’s Sons, 1999, 395 pages.

Those of us who love history enjoy the speculation inspired by the investigative method known as imaginary history.  Imaginary history poses the “what if” or counterfactual questions that stimulate debate about actual historical events and the circumstances that might have altered those events.

What if the fierce weather storm at Normandy had not broken by June 6, 1944?  What if Genghis Khan’s son had not suddenly died on the eve of the Mongol invasion of Europe in 1242?  What if General Robert E. Lee’s lost order hadn’t been lost?  How different would the history of the United States and the entire world have been?  These are just some of the intriguing questions posed in a fascinating book entitled “What If?”

The book is edited by Robert Cowley and contains the writing of some of the world’s most renowned historians.  The book’s 20 essays are arranged in chronological order, beginning with the Assyrian siege of Jerusalem in 701 B.C. and ending with Chaing Kai-shek’s attempt to eradicate the Communist Chinese from Manchuria in 1946.  In between are wonderfully engaging essays by such luminaries as Cecelia Holland, William H. McNeill, John Keegan and Stephen Ambrose.  These essays contain hypothetical scenarios that challenge the reader to reexamine long held views on a particular episode of history.

 

 

At the battle of Granicus River in 334 B.C., a 21-year-old Macedonian king was saved by one of his soldiers from a fatal battle-ax blow to the head.   What if the battle-ax had met its mark and the king had died?  The world would have lost the conqueror known as Alexander the Great. Josiah Ober speculates that Alexander’s death would have resulted in the survival of the Persian Empire of the east while the Hellenistic period, “the cultural seedbed of the West,” might never have occurred.

In “What the Fog Wrought,” David McCullough considers the consequences to the American Revolution if George Washington hadn’t escaped the British blockade of Long Island in the summer of 1776.  He argues that Washington might have been forced to surrender to the British forces and his capture may have ended the American colonies hope for independence.

 

Other subjects of conjecture include how one strategic blunder by Adolph Hitler may have cost him victory in World War II, the missed opportunities by an overconfident Napoleon, and the mysterious plague that saved Jerusalem and preserved the Jewish religion (as well as paving the way for Christianity and Islam).

One of the most interesting counterfactuals is James McPherson’s “If the Lost Order Hadn’t Been Lost.” On September 13, 1862, an Indiana corporal discovered an envelope in a clover field containing General Robert E. Lee’s Special Orders No. 191.  This “lost order” was the blueprint for the Confederate Army’s fall campaign.  As a result of this chance discovery, the Union army’s victory at the bloody Battle of Antietam was a setback for the Confederate cause.   What if the lost order hadn’t been lost and Antietam had never happened?  McPherson writes that the Confederate States may have continued their march northward and the ultimate outcome of the Civil War could have been a Confederate States of America independent of the United States.

“What If?” is an engrossing look at the quirks and curiosities of history and how random elements of chance, luck and weather can determine an outcome.  Cowley, who is the founding editor of “MHQ: The Quarterly Journal of Military History,” has assembled a talented group of writers whose knowledge and expertise lend credibility and realism to these essays.  One of the book’s pleasures is that the reader can randomly enjoy any chapter desired; the book is not dependent on a chronological cover-to-cover reading.

“What If?” is recommended for anyone who enjoys history, current events or imaginative historical scenarios.

For more information, visit the library at 725 Pekin St. or call 732-8878.

 

[Richard Sumrall,
Lincoln Public Library District]

 

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