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There's no proof yet, he cautions. But there's mounting suggestive evidence:
New York City's health department tracked emergency-room visits for five flu seasons, and found school-age children are among the first sickened.
Earlier work by Boston's Brownstein and Dr. Kenneth Mandl had implicated preschoolers, finding that a spike in respiratory illness in the under-5 crowd predicts that about five weeks later, flu-related deaths among the elderly will peak. In their newest study, flu struck the earliest in ZIP codes with the most preschoolers.
Carroll County, Md., gave free doses of the nasal vaccine FluMist to 44 percent of its elementary school students in 2005, and saw less absenteeism that winter than a neighboring county. More intriguing, Carroll County's unvaccinated high school students missed less school that winter, too, suggesting some communitywide protection.
Tecumseh, Mich., vaccinated 85 percent of school-age children just before the 1968 influenza pandemic, resulting in 67 percent less flulike illness in that community than in a neighboring one.
Stay tuned: Brownstein's next study, paid for by the government, will track the community impact of vaccinating more school-age children.
[Associated
Press;
Copyright 2008 The Associated
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