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That total could grow once the trustee begins the task of trying to roll back the Ponzi scheme. The law may now require people who got out before the scheme collapsed to give that money back, and the Madoff trustee, Irving Picard, has said he plans to initiate several so-called "clawback" lawsuits to recover false profits. How much cash that effort will generate is unknown, though it could amount to billions of dollars. The courts have had a mixed record trying to untangle Ponzi schemes. In some lucky instances, investors have gotten back a majority of what they put in. In others, they've received pennies on the dollar. The amount could depend on how hard Madoff investors resist demands that they return ill-gotten gains. Picard has said that any assets recovered by the trustee will be divided among the victims on a prorata basis, meaning everyone will get back the same percentage of their principal investment. No one, he said, will be entitled to claim a profit. Ironically, however, a handful of Madoff clients could theoretically end up doing better than if they had purchased legitimate stocks. The Dow Jones Industrial average has lost 39 percent of its value in the past 12 months. By comparison, a person who pulled $800,000 out of the market at this time last year and gave it to Madoff, then received $500,000 back from the Securities Investor Protection Corp., would be down only 38 percent. Unlike a bankruptcy proceeding, there won't be a pecking order of creditors that will entitle some to receive their money before others, but the rules for the SIPC fund will create many instances where some investors get a big chunk of money back, while others
-- those who invested through large hedge funds -- will get relatively little.
So what percentage of the total losses might be recovered in the end? It's hard to say, if only because investigators still don't know exactly how much investors gave to Madoff in the first place. Prosecutors said that not long before his arrest, Madoff sent clients statements saying they had $64.8 billion in their accounts. That figure, though, was fiction. Madoff had lied to investors for decades about how much their investments were worth. The amount of real money at stake is still being tallied.
[Associated
Press;
Copyright 2009 The Associated Press. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten or redistributed.
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