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However, he said the bottom line was still better than estimates and repeated an "Add" advice on shares, on hopes that the company's production is set to rise quickly next year. Shell pumped 2.93 million barrels of oil per day in the third quarter, flat from a year ago and up slightly from the second quarter. Shell has invested heavily in new production to reverse a decade-long declining trend, and has vowed production increases by next year. The company's earnings from production fell 82 percent to $1.54 billion, reflecting the fall in oil prices. Shell sold oil at $63 per barrel in the third quarter from $111 a year ago. Henry said the recent recovery in oil prices to around $78 per barrel is speculative. "Fundamentally we don't see demand turning yet and there's plenty of supply available," he said. "So while I might see reasons why the prices might be higher, I simply can't plan a balance sheet" on the assumption that they will remain at current levels, he said. Shell's refining earnings fell 47 percent to $1.29 billion, including a gain of $536 million because of a rise in the estimated value of inventories. Shell said refining margins worsened due to lower demand.
[Associated
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