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In a step further reflecting the recent thaw in relations, Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner postponed until this summer a report that had been due this week that might have condemned China for manipulating its currency, as Geithner had asserted in the past. That could have proved an embarrassment to China, with its president in Washington attending Obama's summit. Geithner also made an unscheduled visit to China last week -- following a trip to India
-- and met with Chinese Vice Premier Wang Qishan. That led to an increase in speculation that China may be getting closer to allowing its currency, the yuan, also called the renminbi, to appreciate with market forces. A stronger yuan would cut import prices inside China. There are mixed views within China on the value of keeping the currency tied to the dollar. A stronger yuan, for instance, would give China's central bank a freer hand to raise interest rates to combat inflation. A move to let the yuan rise in value against the dollar would benefit U.S. exporters. The undervalued Chinese currency has made Chinese goods cheaper for American consumers. But it's hurt U.S. companies by making their products costlier in China.
Fred Bergsten of the Peterson Institute for International Economics says the yuan is 25 percent to 40 percent undervalued against the dollar. If the Chinese currency were to appreciate by that amount, he estimates, it could generate 600,000 to 1.2 million U.S. jobs. Charles Freeman, former assistant U.S. trade representative for China affairs and now with the Center for Strategic and International Studies, said there's "definitely been a public warming in relations" between the U.S. and China in recent weeks. "And I think the private relationship is slightly warmer," he said. Freeman said he expects the Chinese will soon act to let its currency rise. "It's been in the works for a long time," he said. As to future relations between the two economic super powers, "we're always going to have a bit of a roller coaster," Freeman said.
[Associated
Press;
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