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Equally improbable is the possibility of a "rock burst," an extremely dangerous phenomenon that occurs when settling layers of earth bear down on the walls of a mine and result in a sudden, catastrophic release of stored energy. Exploding pillars can turn chunks of rock or coal into deadly missiles, and the shock wave alone can kill. In 2007 at Crandall Canyon in Utah, a mountain "bump" -- the coal mine equivalent of a rock burst
-- killed six workers and registered as a 3.9-magnitude earthquake, according to seismologists. Days later, a second bump killed three rescuers. But this mine's structure is likely to be stable after the initial collapse released the stress, Grayson said. "It's probably in a state of equilibrium, at least for a while. As long as there's no new mine activity, that equilibrium would not be disturbed." Geology also will determine how quickly the miners can be pulled up to the surface. Chile's state-owned Codelco mining company is setting up an enormous perforation drill capable of carving a hole 26 inches (66 centimeters) wide through solid rock at a rate of 15 to 30 yards (meters) a day. The terrain at the San Jose mine is mostly diorite, an igneous rock formed from cooled magma that is considered to be only medium-hard, Lagos said. The rescue operation's leader, Andres Sougarret, estimated it would take three to four months to get the men out. But Davitt McAteer, a former assistant secretary of the U.S. Mine Safety and Health Administration, called that "perhaps the most conservative model." "We ought to be able to get them out in a period of weeks, not months," he said. Grayson predicted it could take just 25 to 30 days to reach the miners, while Lagos said it would likely be somewhere between 60 if all goes well and 120 if the effort bogs down. The miners were lucky to be working far below where the tunnel collapsed. But the mountain itself helped provide the essentials for life. "It was surprising for everyone in the country to find the 33 of them alive. I was very surprised," Lagos said, but "all the ingredients were there."
[Associated
Press;
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