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"I tried sleeping in the house for a night, but an aftershock came and I ran outside," said Louise Lafonte, 36, who beds down with her family of five in a tent beside her seemingly intact concrete house. "I'm not going inside until the ground calms down." That may be awhile. Seismologists say additional, damaging aftershocks are likely and there's even a chance of another large quake following quickly after the initial catastrophe in the capital of 3 million people. In 1751, a large quake hit the island that Haiti shares with the Dominican Republic. About a month later, another one destroyed Port-au-Prince. A magnitude-7.4 quake that killed more than 18,000 people in northwestern Turkey in 1999 was followed three months later by another of magnitude-7.2 only 100 kilometers (60 miles) from the initial epicenter. "There are many other examples like that of two significant earthquakes following each other," said Eric Calais, a geophysicist at Purdue University, who said he warned the Haitian government two years ago that the country was vulnerable to a major quake. The prospect of another quake is on the minds of planners trying to rebuild the country and on those trying to prevent more deaths. U.N. inspectors have advised people to stay away from dozens of structures. The U.S. Geological Survey estimated at the end of January that there was a 90 percent likelihood of at least one more magnitude-5 quake in the coming month, a 15 percent likelihood of one of magnitude-6 or greater, and a 2 percent possibility of a shock as great, or bigger, than the Jan. 12 quake.
[Associated
Press;
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