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"Isn't moviemaking all about creating suspense and waiting, waiting, waiting for your payoff?" said Tom O'Neil, a columnist for awards website TheEnvelope.com. "We're seeing a herd mentality taking effect now." Oscar voters are influenced by earlier awards and might be more inclined to play follow the leader, choosing the same winners if the show were held closer to other ceremonies, O'Neil said. This past season, the sci-fi blockbuster "Avatar" had the momentum in mid-January, when it beat the Iraq War drama "The Hurt Locker" at the Golden Globes. At the Oscars seven weeks later, momentum had shifted to "The Hurt Locker," which beat "Avatar" for the top prizes. Such breathing room between major awards shows gives Oscar voters a chance to weigh contenders more clearly and extra time to see them all, particularly important now that the academy has doubled the best-picture field to 10 films, O'Neil said. Though the Oscar TV audience hit an all-time high in 1998, when blockbuster "Titanic" dominated the awards, the show's ratings have been on a general decline the last 25 years. The audience fell to a record low of 32 million viewers two years ago but rebounded to 36.3 million in 2009 and 41.7 million this year as producers tinkered with the ceremony to liven it up.
[Associated
Press;
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