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In neighboring Romania, remittances fell by about a quarter, to euro1.1 billion (US$1.35 billion) for the first four months of 2010 compared to the same period last year. Romania's unemployment rate rose to 8 percent this year, nearly double that of two years ago. While it is impossible to pinpoint how many were returnees, there is little doubt that they contributed to the growing number of jobless, which the International Monetary Fund says could rise to 11 percent in the coming months. In Bosnia-Herzegovina, remittances decreased by more than 17 percent from 2008 to 2009 when they were 2.1 billion convertible marks, or around $1.2 billion). Bosnia's central bank said this has contributed to higher levels of poverty, less spending and less investment. A survey by the International Organization for Migration indicated some 353,000 Moldovans were working abroad but still belonged to a household in Moldova as of March, 2009. The IOM says that considering other estimates, probably around 600,000 Moldovans are living outside the country under various status, or about 15 percent of the entire population of 4 million. The World Bank's Dilip Ratha warns it might get worse. "If the crisis deepens further in Europe, you will see more of an impact of these flows, more workers will come back and fewer will go abroad," said Ratha, a senior economist and manager of the Migration and Remittances Team. For now, some of those forced back home by the EU economic downturn are biding their time, waiting for better economic conditions before trying their luck abroad again.
But with their incomes a lifeline for whole families, others are trying their luck again, just weeks after being laid off. Romanian air conditioner technician Relu Ciui is looking beyond Spain, from where he had sent home money for the past eight years. "I left Romania because I had no chance here," said Ciui. "In Spain I found a job that allowed me to dream that I could live a better life and that's the way it was. I was earning euro1,500 a month, like a Romanian government minister earns." And Mihai Chicu, the unemployed shoe factory engineer, decided to return to Greece
-- looking to join his wife harvesting lemons.
[Associated Press; By CORNELIU RUSNAC and ALISON MUTLER]
Mutler reported from Bucharest, Romania. Associated Press writers George Jahn in Vienna and Aida Cerkez-Robinson in Sarajevo, Bosnia, contributed to this report.
Copyright 2010 The Associated Press. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten or redistributed.
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