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Paterson botched his highest-profile act as governor, courting Caroline Kennedy, Robert's niece, to replace Clinton in the Senate before abruptly picking Gillibrand instead. Gillibrand, Paterson, Massa and Rangel are all Democrats, adding to the national party's headaches as it braces for potentially historic losses in the November midterm elections. Democrats will have an uphill fight to defend Massa's seat in a conservative upstate region, while Rangel's troubles are an embarrassment to Speaker Nancy Pelosi, who promised "the most ethical Congress in history" in 2006 after Democrats retook control. New York Republicans, however, haven't done much so far to capitalize on their rivals' woes, even with so many targets of opportunity. The GOP has an exceedingly thin bench in the state with its few big names
-- notably former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani and former Gov. George Pataki
-- opting not to run for office this year. Andrew Cuomo, the popular and well-financed attorney general, will almost certainly be the Democratic nominee to replace Paterson in the governor's race. Former Rep. Rick Lazio, the likely Republican nominee, lost badly to Clinton in the 2000 Senate race and is given little chance against Cuomo, a political leviathan and the son of former Gov. Mario Cuomo.
The GOP also lost two New York House seats in special elections last year in conservative districts that had long elected Republicans. Nelson Warfield, a GOP strategist who has worked in many New York campaigns, said prospects for Republicans were brightening in the state, pointing to new faces like Dan Senor, a foreign policy expert and husband of CNN anchor Campbell Brown, who is considering a challenge to Gillibrand. "New York Democrats are looking more and more like a Jerry Springer episode, and that will intensify voter disaffection," Warfield said. "Republicans should be able to benefit from that." He added, however, that just as in other parts of the country, the GOP shouldn't be complacent. "To say the Democrats are unpopular does not mean Republicans are popular. There's a pox on all our houses."
[Associated
Press;
Copyright 2010 The Associated Press. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten or redistributed.
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