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"Think of it. The ground troops for both parties
-- tea party Republicans and union Democrats -- believe free trade is bad," suggests Robert Reich, who was labor secretary in the Clinton administration and is now a professor at the University of California, Berkeley. Alan Tonelson, research fellow at the U.S. Business and Industry Council, which represents small and mid-sized manufacturers, said the jury's still out on how tea-party influence will shape trade decisions
-- noting a split between libertarian-leaning conservatives who may favor ending all government restrictions on trade and those who want to do more to protect home industries. "The tea party certainly at its grass roots is an economic populist movement. And populist movements tend to take a very dim view of U.S. trade policy," he said. "Tea party social conservatives are also very worked up about China." Languishing free-trade pacts with South Korea, Colombia and Panama -- negotiated during the Bush administration
-- may be casualties of the rise in protectionism sentiment. Obama has vowed to revive these pacts -- depicting them as good ways to expand exports and increase American jobs. But the trade measures have generated little enthusiasm or support on Capitol Hill. That could be awkward for Obama since South Korea is the host of the Nov. 11-12 Group of 20 summit. White House spokeswoman Amy Brundage said the administration was working with South Korea and other directly affected parties "to see whether the outstanding issues with that free-trade agreement, particularly on autos and beef, can be address by the time of the president's visit next month." "The president supports free and fair trade agreements that include strong labor and environmental protections and that expand opportunities for American workers and farmers and create jobs," Brundage said. Even if the U.S. and South Korea can announce a framework agreement, it still has an uphill path in Congress. As to China, Obama himself has toughened his stance, even as he sent Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton and Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner there to try to defuse tensions.
The searing campaign-trail rhetoric against China "makes it a lot more awkward" for Obama to deal in Seoul with both South Korean and Chinese leaders, suggested Fariborz Ghadar, a senior adviser at the Washington-based Center for Strategic and International Studies. But he said he hoped "more reasonable" minds would prevail after the heat of the election dies down. But Jeffrey Schott, a senior fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics, says the "bigger problem for Obama is that unemployment still hovers just below 10 percent. And when you have rates of unemployment that high, you are going to see extensive protectionist pressure. It's just the nature of things when people are out of work."
[Associated
Press;
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