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A senior Republican, Rules Committee Chairman David Dreier of California, also said he would not support the amendment as he had in 1995. Dreier said Congress should have the will to balance the budget without changing the Constitution and warned of "protracted legal battles" in which the courts would end up deliberating over budgets that had passed years before. If all 434 active members of Congress voted and all 242 Republicans supported the amendment, it would still require 48 Democratic votes to reach the 290 needed for a two-thirds majority. To attract Democrats, Republicans opted for a version of the measure offered by Goodlatte that does not, as many conservatives wanted, set a tight cap on government spending or require a supermajority to raise taxes. It does require a three-fifths vote by both chambers to raise the debt ceiling and a three-fifths vote to approve a deficit in any one year. Congress could also waive the amendment in times of serious military conflict. The amendment does have the overall support of the so-called Blue Dogs, a 25-member group of fiscally conservative Democrats. "If it does not pass both the House and the Senate," Blue Dog leader Mike Ross, D-Ark., said, "it speaks volumes about the dysfunction of the Congress." But other Democrats pointed to a letter from some 275 labor and other mostly liberal groups saying that forced spending cuts or raised taxes needed to balance the budget when the economy is slow "would risk tipping a faltering economy into recession or worsening an ongoing downturn, costing large number of jobs." Democrats also cited a report by the liberal Center on Budget and Policy Priorities estimating that, if there is not an increase in revenues, the amendment could force Congress to cut all programs by an average of 17.3 percent by 2018. The amendment would not go into effect until 2017, or two years after it is ratified, whichever comes later, and supporters say that would give Congress time to avoid dramatic spending cuts.
[Associated
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