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From 1985, when Perry took office as a 34-year-old state legislator, it has been his life. His timing has been spot on, too. There was his switch from the Democratic Party to the Republican Party in 1989. The move suited Perry. He already was a conservative Democrat, known for advocating budget cuts in the Texas House. There was a growing sense of how hard it would become for Democrats to win statewide office in Texas as the state shifted from blue to red. That was a trend Perry helped lead when he was elected agriculture commissioner in 1990. GOP consultant Reggie Bashur remembers even those in Republican circles thinking Perry didn't stand much of a chance. He was up against a high-profile Democrat, Jim Hightower. But here's where both timing and strategy come into play: Farmers were angry at Hightower over new pesticide rules, and both parties were looking for a "real farmer" to run against him. They found one in Perry, whose team ran a television ad showing Perry in jeans, hat and boots on horseback. "I was impressed with his focus, his tenacity, his commitment," says Bashur. Adds Royal Masset, ex-political director of the Texas Republican Party: "He really looked like someone who would be a leader ... like Winston Churchill meets the Marlboro Man." By 1998, when Perry won a nail-biter to become Texas' first Republican lieutenant governor, the state's transition from blue to red was complete. With George W. Bush leading the way
- and campaigning hard for Perry as his No. 2 in case Bush decided to run for president
- Republicans made history and won every statewide race on the ballot that year. Two years later, Perry found himself in the state's top job when Bush headed to Washington. He's won re-election three times since, including a six-way race in 2006 in which Perry won with 39 percent of the vote. In what was initially seen as one of his toughest challenges, Perry easily defeated U.S. Sen. Kay Bailey Hutchison in their 2010 primary and went on to beat White in the general election. Early polls showed Perry trailing Hutchinson. Some people, including Masset, were suggesting his time as governor was done. But Perry fought back. He attended tea party rallies, talked up states' rights, talked down Washington "insiders" and drew loads of publicity over his now infamous comment about Texas secession. ("If Washington continues to thumb their nose at the American people ... who knows what might come out of that?") In the words of Paul Burka, a writer for Texas Monthly magazine, Perry has both been "sailing with the wind for years" as a conservative in a Republican state and "has a radar sense of political trends." Given that, the timing would once again seem perfect for Perry. The topic of the day is jobs, and Perry is America's self-proclaimed "jobs governor," having presided over a state with 45 percent of the nation's job growth since June 2009, according to the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
The electoral winds may again be shifting back to the right. In some ways it makes sense that he entered the Republican presidential race and shot straight to the top. But can the forever underestimated candidate find his way back there? ___ The morning after the Las Vegas debate, Perry jogged onto the stage at the Venetian Showroom to speak to a gathering of western Republicans. Standing behind a podium, glancing at his notes, he gave a keynote that hit on his campaign themes: the job creation record of Texas, his "authentic" conservatism, energy policy as a way to improve the economy. His delivery was full of fist pumps and calls to "Let's do it! Let's roll!" The Aggie yell leader is still alive in the 61-year-old campaigner. But when the cheering stops, the carping begins. First came the kind of verbal barbs that folks in Texas are used to but may not fly on a national scene, including his suggestion that Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke would be committing a "treasonous" act if he decided to "print more money to boost the economy" and that, if he did, "we would treat him pretty ugly down in Texas." Republicans and Democrats alike shot back with a barb of their own: "unpresidential." Then came the faltering debate performances, and the ensuing skewering by pundits on the left and the right. Old policy decisions have come back to haunt him, most notably an order requiring Texas girls to be vaccinated against a virus that can cause cervical cancer. (The Texas Legislature overturned the decree.) Conservatives' eyebrows went up over a Texas policy allowing the children of illegal immigrants to pay in-state college tuition rates, not to mention Perry's characterization of those who oppose such education benefits as "heartless." He's taken heat for calling Social Security a "Ponzi scheme," for questioning the science behind global warming, for not acting sooner to remove a rock painted with a racially offensive name from the Texas hunting camp his family once leased, and for failing to repudiate a Dallas minister and supporter who called Mormonism a cult.
Where does all of this leave him? "Where he has always been," says Perry aide Ray Sullivan. "Being underestimated has its advantages. ... He is confident and likes a challenge. And, occasionally, he likes a fight." Perry doesn't want to waste time looking back at what's maybe gone wrong. It's not his way, says Miller, the Austin consultant. "He does not move sideways and he certainly doesn't move backward. He moves forward. And he tends to move forward fast." As Perry points out, he has money in the bank, and a great story to tell. As for whether that will be enough to carry the boy from Paint Creek to the Republican nomination and, even, beyond? "I don't know," he says. "We'll find out."
[Associated
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