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Ranbaxy, India's largest maker of generic drugs, did not get permission from the Food and Drug Administration to sell its generic until the night of Nov. 30. That was because long-standing manufacturing issues at some Ranbaxy factories led the FDA to block shipments of many Ranbaxy drugs to the U.S. Ranbaxy, which has been working to resolve those issues, got FDA permission to make its atorvastatin at a New Brunswick, N.J., factory. Watson spokesman Charlie Mayr said IMS data doesn't capture all sales, and he believes his company is splitting the generic sales fairly evenly with Ranbaxy. Watson is based in Parsippany, N.J. Pfizer spokesman MacKay Jimeson wrote in an email response to questions that "Lipitor continues to meet our expectations. "Enrollment in the Lipitor For You program has been in line with our expectations, as we expect the majority of patients will be automatically switched to a generic," he wrote. "Our goals are to support patient choice." Mayr said his company expected that "Pfizer's very aggressive strategy would retain about 40 percent of the overall market. The fact that it's below 40 demonstrates that they haven't been quite as successful as we had anticipated." Sanford Bernstein analyst Dr. Tim Anderson has estimated that for a 90-day supply of Lipitor, even after paying the rebates to insurers and patients, Pfizer still can make a profit of roughly $100, compared with about $225 before generic competition. That math all changes come this June, when additional generic companies will be allowed to enter the market. The increased competition will send prices for atorvastatin plunging, to as little as 25 percent of the original Lipitor price, about $115 to $160 per month, depending on dosage. It's unlikely that Pfizer would then be able to offer discounts big enough to still make a profit. "This will be an all-generic market" at that point, Mayr predicted. Kleinrock, of IMS, said that having a brand-name company competing with generics, as Pfizer is doing now, should push down prices for all the versions. "It's clear that every company's watching to see if this works," he said, because up till now brand-name drugmakers have accepted rapid loss of sales of their blockbusters as inevitable. "This could have repercussions," he said, if other brand-name companies decide to follow suit.
[Associated
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