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WHAT'S AT STAKE? Morsi's power play will determine whether the generals' constitutional declaration will stand. If it stands, the military will have not just the powers of the legislature but also the authority to steer the drafting of the new constitution. In the bigger picture, this may be a test case that determines the role of the military in post-Mubarak Egypt -- whether the country will follow the "Turkish model" of the 1980s and 1990s in which the army could block civilian governments from acting against its wishes -- or whether the army will be subordinate to an elected president and legislature, Islamist or otherwise. WHAT HAPPENS NOW? Morsi has the legitimacy from being the country's first-ever freely elected president, and Brotherhood supporters in the past have threatened a "second revolution" if the army tries to hold on to power. The military, on the other hand, has the top court on its side -- and, of course, the ability to put tanks on the streets. Over the past 17 months, neither side has shown a willingness to push a crisis over the breaking point, however, and there are a number of ways that this conflict could be defused. Morsi also announced that there would be new elections after a constitution is adopted. And parliament could meet once or twice and then go into recess. But Egypt's post-Mubarak transition has been wildly unpredictable thus far, and few analysts would venture with any confidence what will happen next.
[Associated
Press;
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