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An Associated Press exit poll of voters in the Walker recall showed a majority said they would vote for Obama in five months. Still, Republicans are confident in the wake of Walker's 7-point recall win on June 5. Republicans here point to an energized ground organization they built to keep Walker in office, and Romney inherits a party infrastructure that made 4.5 million voter contacts in recent months and has 26 field offices across the state. "That is the organizational strength we're going to take to November," Republican National Committee Chairman Reince Priebus said after the recall election. "We crushed the Democrats on the ground. We beat them at their own game." The Obama campaign has been on the ground organizing in Wisconsin but hasn't spent money on advertising for months. Neither Obama nor Romney has run TV ads in the state. Obama steered clear of Wisconsin during the recall race, never campaigning for the Democratic candidate. Obama's last visit to Wisconsin was in February, at a Master Lock plant in Milwaukee.
Unemployment in Wisconsin has ticked gradually downward this year, falling to 6.7 percent in April, which is lower than the national average. But Janesville, a city of about 60,000, has lagged. The city's unemployment rate spiked to almost 16 percent in the months after the GM plant closed before gradually falling to 9 percent in April. That is still the seventh-highest for any Wisconsin city.
[Associated
Press;
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