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China knows it needs to boost output. It is expected to produce around 32 million metric tons of raw milk this year, according to a U.S. Department of Agriculture forecast, but the Chinese government's target for 2015 is 50 million metric tons. To that end, consolidating small holdings into bigger farms is being pushed. Government figures show that the percentage of Chinese dairy farms with 100 or more cows grew 17 percent last year and now make up 28 percent of the national total. To spur consolidation and streamline supply, China introduced a rule in 2008 that dairy product producers had to have control over at least 70 percent of their milk supply. Mahon said this rule isn't yet strictly enforced but it has pushed companies in the right direction. Mengniu said this month it's starting to build eight to 12 mega-farms in China's northeast with between 1,000 to 10,000 cows as part of a plan to cut out all of its small-scale suppliers within the next three years. Jim Cullor, a professor and director of the Dairy Food Safety Laboratory at the University of California Davis, has visited numerous Chinese dairy farms, including one in Inner Mongolia last summer run by Yili Industrial Group. He came away impressed by how quickly the bigger ones are being upgraded and mechanized. "The transformation of the dairy industry over the past few years has been remarkable," said Cullor. "The physical facilities on the dairy farms have improved greatly and seem to be continuing down that path." What even the big farms still lack, Cullor said, is expertise, "more on-farm managers with experience and training in animal health" who are able to properly deal with problems like livestock infections and mold-tainted feed. Developing that expertise will take time. And Mahon stresses that it will also take time to build the herds, consolidate them, improve care and improve feed -- all of which are needed to stop the kind of food safety problems dogging the industry. On the bright side, though, the government and the public are paying more attention and catching scandals in real time. Companies are under pressure to inform the public of problems and the government, fearful that food fears could trigger social unrest, is doing a better job of policing the industry. "We just know more," said Mahon.
[Associated
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