Greece secures high participation in bond swap

[March 09, 2012]  ATHENS, Greece (AP) -- Greece has cleared a major hurdle in its race to avoid imminent bankruptcy after persuading the vast majority of its private creditors to slash the value of their Greek bond holdings, a move that should pave the way for the country's second massive international bailout.

Following weeks of intense discussions, Greece's Finance Ministry said Friday that 85.8 percent of private investors holding its Greek-law bonds had signed up to the deal, and that it aimed to use legislation forcing those creditors still holding out of the deal to participate. After accounting for bonds that are governed by foreign laws, that proportion drops to 83.5 percent.

Venizelos said he would recommend the activation of the legislation, known as "collective action clauses" to Parliament.

"A window of opportunity is opening" with the success of the deal to massively reduce the country's debt by euro105 billion, or about 50 percentage points of gross domestic product, he said.

"We have achieved an exceptional success ... and I believe everyone will soon realize that this is the only way to keep the country on its feet and give it a second historic chance that it needs," Venizelos told Parliament earlier Friday.

"After a very long time this is a very good day. The country has already rid itself of euro105 billion ($139 billion) of debt, or 50 percent of GDP."

The deal will see private bond holders accepting a face-value loss of 53.5 percent in exchange for new bonds with more easier repayment terms for Greece. A total of euro206 billion ($273 billion) out of Greece's euro368 billion ($487 billion) national debt is in private hands.

If the swap had failed, Greece would have faced defaulting on its debts in two weeks, when it faced a large bond redemption. Getting the bond swap through is a key condition for Greece to get its hands on a euro130 billion ($172 billion) package of rescue loans from other eurozone countries and the International Monetary Fund.

The bond swap is a radical attempt to pull Greece out of its debt spiral and put its shrinking economy back on the path to recovery. The hope is that by slashing the overall debt, the recession-bound country can gradually return to growth and eventually repay the remaining money it owes.

Markets generally suffered a bout of profit-taking following Thursday's euphoria when hopes of a successful bond swap swelled. The Stoxx 50 of leading European shares was up 0.1 percent, but the main stock index in Athens was 1.7 percent down in midday trading. The euro retreated slightly from recent highs to trade 0.4 percent lower at $1.3215.

"After quite a rollercoaster ride, it looks like Greece has finally done it ... allowing Europe to avoid what could have been a disorderly default in which the costs do not bear thinking about," said Simon Furlong, a trader at Spreadex.

A more detailed look at the results of the swap shows that holders of euro172 billion ($228 billion) in Greek- and foreign-law bonds agreed to sign up to the deal. By triggering the legislation known as collective action clauses to force holdouts to join, Greece will secure a participation level of 95.7 percent, or euro197 billion ($261 billion). The country also extended the deadline for holders of bonds that are governed by foreign laws, of whom 69 percent have so far signed up, until March 23.

"The very strong and positive result provides a major opportunity now for Greece to move ahead with its economic reform program, while strengthening the euro area's ability to create an economic environment of stability and growth," said Josef Ackermann, chairman of the International Institute of Finance, which had negotiated in the deal on behalf or large private creditors.

Greece's national statistical authority said Friday that the recession in the last quarter of 2011 was deeper than initially forecast, reaching 7.5 percent instead of 7 percent. The economy is expected to shrink for a fifth straight year in 2012, stagnate in 2013 and modestly expand in 2014.

On the streets of Athens, many were skeptical. Panayiotis Theodoropoulos said the writedown was good "for them."

"For us? Nothing. Everyone looks out for themselves. In a while the people will be living on the streets," he said.

A debt crisis sparked by years of overspending and waste has left Greece relying on funds from international bailout loans since May 2010. The austerity measures including repeated salary and pension cuts and tax hikes imposed in return have led to record unemployment with more than 1 million people out of work, a fifth of the labor force. But its politicians came under criticism for dragging their heels in implementing reforms.

The bond swap deal is an essential part of Greece's second international bailout, and the country now hopes to start receiving funds from the euro130 billion package of rescue loans. The IMF has set a tentative board meeting date of March 15 to discuss the size of its participation in Greece's second bailout.

"I wish to express my appreciation to all of our creditors who have supported our ambitious program of reform and adjustment and who have shared the sacrifices of the Greek people in this historic endeavor," Venizelos said. "With the support of our official sector and private creditors, Greece will continue implementing the measures needed to achieve the fiscal adjustments and structural reforms to which it has committed, and that will return Greece to a path of sustainable growth."

Venizelos is to hold a news conference later Friday, ahead of a conference call between the finance ministers of the 17 European Union countries that use the euro to discuss the deal's results.

Germany's Finance Ministry welcomed the outcome, describing the wide acceptance of the bond swap as "a big step on the path of stabilization and consolidation" that has "given Greece a historic opportunity."

The ministry said it is now awaiting the assessment of Greece by the so-called troika of international creditors as to whether the result meets the conditions for the release of the next bailout.

The International Swaps and Derivatives Association said it would also meet later Friday to determine whether the deal would be deemed a so-called "credit event" -- a technical default -- which would trigger the payment of credit default swaps, which is essentially insurance against a default.

When the debt relief plan was first announced last year, eurozone leaders and the ECB worked hard to avoid a credit event, because they feared the a payout of CDS could destabilize big financial institutions that sold them.

However, since then a CDS payout has started to look less threatening. The ISDA, a private organization that decides on credit events, said that if triggered, overall payouts on CDS linked to Greece will be below $3.2 billion. That amount is spread over many financial firms and likely too small to significantly hurt any one of them.

[Associated Press; By ELENA BECATOROS and NICHOLAS PAPHITIS]

Derek Gatopoulos and Demetris Nellas in Athens, Gabriele Steinhauser in Brussels and Geir Moulson in Berlin contributed to this report.

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