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"Bristol-Myers stole the show," Barclays Capital analyst Tony Butler wrote to investors. "Most startling was the estimated one-year overall survival rate of 82 percent."
Some patients in Bristol-Myers' study had their tumors shrink even after they stopped taking the drug, indicating its effects endure, at least for a while.
Needing a shorter treatment time would be great for patients, but less so for Bristol-Myers since the less time a patient needs to stay on the drug, the less money the company would make.
Still, analysts estimated Bristol-Myers' drug could eventually generate well over $6 billion a year in revenue just from treating advanced melanoma, and more if it is successful in treating other cancers. That could make it one of the most lucrative blockbusters -- drugs generating more than $1 billion in annual sales -- that the pharmaceutical industry has seen.
That's partly because the PD-1 therapies, if approved, are likely to be very pricey, as they are biologic medicines, "manufactured" in living cells rather than by mixing chemicals together.
Switzerland's Roche also presented data at the conference on several studies testing its own "engineered antibody" drug, MPDL3280A, against various cancer types. A study in patients with metastatic melanoma found 29 percent responded to the drug, while in three other cancer studies 13 percent to 22 percent of study participants responded to the medicine.
Like the Merck and Bristol-Myers drugs, Roche's drug is meant to give the immune system the upper hand over cancer cells by making them more visible.
MPDL3280A works by binding to a protein, or receptor, called PD-L1 on cancer cells. The Merck and Bristol-Myers antibody drugs instead bind to a receptor on the T cells, activating them and enabling them to see cancer cells.
In Monday trading, Bristol-Myers shares closed up $1.58, or 3.4 percent, at $47.59, after peaking during the session at $49.57, its highest point in 11 years.
Merck shares also saw an unusually big jump during the trading day, rising as high as $49.36, a point last seen five years ago, before paring back a bit to close up $1.75, or 3.8 percent, at $48.45.
[Associated
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