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Expectations for continued improvement in the economy mean the Federal Reserve may trim its bond-purchasing program later this year and halt it by the middle of 2014, Chairman Ben Bernanke said on Wednesday. Investors see that as a first step toward a hike in short-term interest rates, which could happen by late 2014 or early 2015. A stronger economy would also help floating-rate mutual funds because it would mean a lower risk of defaults. Here are some additional considerations for mutual-fund investors: RETURN EXPECTATIONS The popularity of floating-rate funds in recent months means that future returns will likely come primarily from the yield that bank loans offer. There's little room left for prices to rise. The average yield for bank-loan mutual funds is 3.6 percent, according to Morningstar. David Hillmeyer, portfolio manager of the Delaware Diversified Floating Rate fund, says investors could expect an annual return in the low single digits. He invests in higher-quality bonds, which carry lower yields but should have less risk of default. His fund owns floating-rate debt issued by Apple and other big companies. WHAT RATE TO WATCH Interest rates on bank loans rise and fall with a benchmark rate, typically the London interbank offered rate, known as Libor. The one-month Libor rate has been falling over the last year, to 0.19 percent from 0.25 percent. THE DELAYED EFFECT If Libor rates start rising, don't expect an immediate increase to the monthly distributions sent out by bank-loan mutual funds. Libor rates are so low that they're below the minimum interest rates that have been set for many bank loans. HIGHER COSTS With the risk of defaults for bank loans, mutual funds hire teams of professionals to wade through reams of loan documents. That contributes to higher fees. The average bank-loan fund has an expense ratio of 1.19 percent. That means $119 of every $10,000 invested in the fund goes to covering salaries for fund managers and other annual expenses. The average taxable bond mutual fund has an expense ratio of 1 percent, meaning $100 of every $10,000 invested goes toward fees.
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