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Most economists, 81 percent, said the Affordable Care Act had no impact on employment during the past three months. But a "sizeable minority," 18 percent, reported a negative impact. And 22 percent expected a negative impact on employment in the next year, compared with only 2 percent expecting a positive impact. The responses also suggested a small shift toward more part-time and fewer full-time employees, according to the survey. Most economists, 80 percent, reported no impact on their businesses in the third quarter from rising long-term interest rates, according to the survey.
But a quarter of the economists expect rising interest rates and increasing oil prices to drag on sales during the next 12 months.
Twenty-five percent expect a negative impact from rising rates, but 62 percent expect no impact.
Also, 25 percent of panelists expect rising oil prices to hurt sales in the next year more than in the past three months, but a majority, 64 percent, expects no impact.
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