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 Equities are still trading broadly near multi-year highs despite the
past month's jitters over geopolitical risk, with traders keeping a
close eye on economic data and central-banker comments for
indications of interest-rate moves after years of crisis-era
rock-bottom benchmark borrowing rates.
"The situation in Ukraine is still very tense, but slowly investors
are getting used to it and turning their focus back on the macro and
micro data, and earnings have been quite good," said Arnaud Scarpaci,
fund manager at Montaigne Capital.
Meanwhile, British inflation eased more than expected in July and
the pace of house price growth slowed in June, according to data
that underscored the Bank of England's message that it is in no rush
to hike interest rates. Sterling fell to a four-month low against
the U.S. dollar.
The MSCI World Index, which tracks stocks from developed economies,
was up 0.15 percent at 1,730.01 points at 0837 GMT (0437 EDT),
compared with its all-time high of 1,765.77 points reached in July.
The FTSEurofirst 300 index of top European shares was up 0.34
percent, led by gains in Germany, where the blue-chip DAX index was
up 0.8 percent. The index, which is traded as a proxy for the
Ukraine crisis given Germany's strong trade ties with Russia, is
down some 7 percent from its June highs.
Ukrainian government forces have been fighting separatists for four
months in the Russian-speaking east of Ukraine. A reported attack on
a Russian convoy on Friday had sparked fears of Russian retaliation
but none emerged.
European trading followed on from gains in Asia and Wall Street,
where U.S. equities rose to their highest level since late July and
the U.S. dollar index <.DXY> edged back toward an 11-month high
after upbeat housing data.
Emerging markets also benefited, with the MSCI Emerging Market index
up 0.5 percent.
German 10-year bund yields <DE10YT=TWEB> were unchanged at 1.0
percent, just above record lows hit at the end of last week, while
yields on lower rated bonds dipped.
The ECB has already taken measures to keep borrowing costs low and
ensure the euro zone banking system has ample spare cash, with new
four-year loans (TLTROs) set to become available to banks from
September. But strategists say current market prices are starting to
price in further policy easing ahead.
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The current environment is prompting companies to return cash to
shareholders: Shares of Danish shipping company Moeller Maersk
were up more than 4 percent after announcing its first buyback
programme in its 110-year history, while Nestle has also unveiled a
buyback.
Later in the week, investors will be keeping a close eye on
Wednesday's release of minutes from the Federal Reserve's July
policy meeting as well as comments from the Fed's summit in Jackson
Hole, Wyoming, which starts on Thursday.
A rally in July spurred hopes the dollar was ready for a push
higher, long predicted by many of the biggest investment houses, but
on which it has consistently failed to deliver over the past year.
That casts the steadying of the euro and other currencies so far
this month as just a hiccup, but opinion in the market is divided.
"We're back in this zone really where it could go either way," said
a dealer with one London bank. "The data over the next couple of
days, and (Fed Chair Janet) Yellen's appearance, could be the key to
breaking us out of this range, but we have been here before. This
year's model is range-trading."
U.S. crude oil and Brent crude futures were slightly higher,
respectively up 0.4 percent and 0.2 percent.
(Reporting by Lionel Laurent; Additional reporting by Blaise
Robinson, Anirban Nag, John Geddie, Chris Vellacott and Patrick
Graham; Editing by Andrew Heavens)
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