World investors eased back on their exposure to risk assets such as
stocks as they grappled with divergent monetary policies and
multi-speed growth paths among major world economies, a global poll
shows.
A monthly survey of 47 senior investors in the United States,
Europe, Britain and Japan found the average recommended exposure to
stocks in global balanced portfolios eased for a second consecutive
month to 49.1 percent in November from 49.5 percent.
"The greatest risk remains disappointment on global growth level ...
Markets remain vulnerable to any negative newsflow on macroeconomic
indicators, be it in the Euro zone, in the US or even in China,"
Candriam Investors Group said in comment sent to Reuters for the
poll.
An end to monetary stimulus, in place since the financial crisis, in
the United States and Britain as their economies gather momentum
stands in marked contrast to policies elsewhere.
Japan, the Eurozone and China are moving toward boosting money
supply to counter sluggish or falling economic growth, leaving
investors with an uncertain environment to grapple with.
Many still feel global growth is shaky - as evidenced in recent
falls in global oil prices prompted by worries energy demand will be
weak.
Global investors' cash allocations - used as a safe haven in times
of volatile markets - eased back to 6.2 percent in November, the
poll showed, but remained close to the year's high of 6.7 percent
reached in October.
Allocations to bonds - also seen as a safe haven relative to
equities - rose to 36.8 percent from 36.4 percent.
The poll was taken from Nov. 14-27, when world stocks recovered more
of the poise lost during the volatility seen in mid-October and
gained close to 2 percent.
The U.S. S&P 500 index set a record high during the survey period,
climbing more than 1.5 percent. Emerging-market stocks also posted a
more than 1.5 percent gain during the survey period.
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They remain more than 7 percent off a September peak for the year,
battered by a strong U.S. dollar luring investment away, fears of
China slowing down and fallout from the standoff with Russia over
its role in Ukraine.
U.S. fund managers cut their recommended equity allocation in model
portfolios for a sixth consecutive month and increased their bond
holdings.
Recommended stock holdings for U.S investors fell to 54.4 percent in
November from 55.0 percent in the previous month.
European investors built up holdings of safe-haven cash by 60 basis
points to 8.6 percent. Exposure to stocks was cut to 47.1 percent on
average from 47.7 percent a month earlier.
Japanese fund managers' allocations to equities inched down to 43.2
percent in November from 43.6 percent in October and allocations to
bonds was little changed at 51.8 percent from 52.0 percent the
previous month.
British investment managers kept equity allocations at a two-year
low this month at 51.7 percent, and property holdings at multi-year
highs of 4.7 percent. They reduced their cash holdings to an average
of 8.3 percent, down from last month's multi-year highs of 11.2
percent but still higher than at any other time in the past year.
(Additional reporting by Sam Wilkin, Rahul Karunakar, Deepti Govind
and Shinichi Saoshiro)
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