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			 The 
			city began using its second so-called “technical reserve” 10 
			days ago to prevent a water crisis after reservoirs reached 
			critically low levels last month. 
 This is the first time the state has resorted to using the reserves, 
			experts say.
 
 “If we take into account the same pattern of water extraction and 
			rainfall that we’ve seen so far this month – and it’s been raining 
			less than half of the average – we can say the (reserve) will last 
			up to 60 days,” said Marussia Whately, a water resources specialist 
			at environmental NGO Instituto Socioambiental.
 
 But an expected increase in water usage during the upcoming 
			Christmas and New Year’s holidays could easily reduce the time the 
			reserve will last, she added.
 
 After that period, there is no certainty over the water supply 
			available to Brazil’s wealthiest city and financial center, Whately 
			said.
 
			 
			If rain doesn’t replenish the Cantareira system - the main group of 
			reservoirs that supply São Paulo - the city could run dry, she said.
 FINAL RESERVE
 
 A third and final technical reserve might be used, but it is 
			difficult to access and mixed with silt that could make pumping it 
			to users difficult, according to Vicente Andreu, the president of 
			the water regulatory agency ANA.
 
 “I believe that, technically, it would be unviable. But if it 
			doesn’t rain, we won’t have an alternative but to get water from the 
			mud,” Andreu said at a hearing about the water crisis in Brasilia’s 
			Lower House of Congress on Nov. 13.
 
 Brazil’s southeast region is suffering its worst drought in at least 
			80 years after an unusually dry year left rivers and reservoirs at 
			critically low levels.
 
 Antonio Nobre, a leading climate scientist at INPE, Brazil’s 
			National Space Research Institute, has linked Brazil’s worsening 
			drought to global warming and deforestation in the Amazon. Both are 
			drastically reducing the release of billions of liters of water by 
			rainforest trees, which reduces rainfall further south, he said.
 
 PLANNING AND POLITICAL FAILURES
 
 Poor planning and a lack of investment to boost reservoir capacity 
			also have left São Paulo teetering on the brink of disaster, experts 
			say.
 
			
			 
			A presidential election in October, which pitted the governing 
			Workers Party (PT) against the opposition Social Democracy Party (PSDB), 
			led São Paulo Governor Geraldo Alckmin of the PSDB to delay taking 
			action on the water shortage - such as ordering mandatory rationing 
			- for fear of losing votes during his reelection campaign, experts 
			say.
 Now some fear changes are coming too late for São Paulo. Alckmin has 
			pledged to invest 3.5 billion reais ($1.4 billion) to build new 
			reservoirs and improve distribution - but most of the work won’t be 
			completed for at least a year.
 
 Brazil’s government has treated the crisis as a temporary problem 
			that would likely go away with the first heavy rains of the summer, 
			rather than a sign of potentially longer-term problems with water 
			security, Andreu said.
 
			
            [to top of second column] | 
            
 
			He has criticized the government’s response to the crisis and its 
			inaction when scientists last year started to warn about a 
			potentially devastating drought in 2014.
 Now politicians admit there is a crisis, and they are finally taking 
			action.
 
 The states of São Paulo, Rio de Janeiro and Minas Gerais, where more 
			than half of Brazil’s GDP is produced, on Nov. 27 agreed on works to 
			divert water from the main river that supplies Rio de Janeiro to 
			reservoirs in São Paulo.
 
			Civil society organizations are pressing the government to take more 
			radical action, such as mandatory rationing.
 LOOKING TO 2015
 
 The Alliance for Water, a growing group of NGOs that includes 
			Greenpeace, The Nature Conservancy and WWF, is demanding a plan to 
			prepare for next year’s dry season, which starts in April.
 
 “We are starting 2015 with a serious deficit that won’t be resolved 
			this summer, so we must start thinking about what to do in April, 
			when the dry season begins and we won’t have any more technical 
			reserves to use,” said Whately, who is coordinating the Alliance for 
			Water.
 
 Sabesp, the water utility that serves São Paulo, accessed a first 
			emergency water reserve in May totaling 480 billion liters.
 
			
			 
			That reserve started to run out in the second half of October, and 
			reservoirs reached just 3 percent of their capacity on Oct. 21.
 State-owned Sabesp was then allowed to tap a second emergency 
			reserve, of 106 billion liters, lifting reservoir capacity above 10 
			percent.
 
 But now, just weeks after this second emergency supply started to be 
			used, water levels at the Cantareira reservoirs are once again below 
			10 percent, according to the company.
 
 The third reserve, with 200 billion liters of water, is the deepest, 
			and is located in smaller reservoirs and in passageways that connect 
			reservoirs, which are harder to tap.
 
 Unlike the water in the reservoirs, which are drawn by gravity, the 
			reserves water must be pumped out, according to ANA’s Andreu.
 
 (Reporting by Adriana Brasileiro, editing by Laurie Goering)
 
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