China's
trade growth seen falling short of target in 2014
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[December 27, 2014]
SHANGHAI (Reuters) - China's trade
will grow 3.5 percent in 2014, implying the country will fall short of a
current 7.5 percent official growth target, according to a report on the
Ministry of Commerce's website that was subsequently revised to remove
the numbers.
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The initial version of the report published on the website on
Saturday, which quoted Minister of Commerce Gao Hucheng, was
replaced with a new version that had identical wording but with all
the numbers and percentages removed.
The Commerce Ministry did not answer calls requesting comment on the
reason for the change.
China's trade figures have repeatedly fallen short of expectations
in the second half of this year, providing more evidence that
China's economy may be facing a sharper slowdown.
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Foreign direct investment will amount to $120 billion for the year,
the earlier version of Ministry of Commerce report said, in line
with official forecasts. The earlier version of the report also said
outward non-financial investment from China could also come in
around the same level.
That would mark the first time outward flows have pulled even with
inward investment flows in China, and would imply a major surge in
outward investment in December given that the current accumulated
level stands slightly below $90 billion.
The earlier version of the report also predicted that retail sales
growth would come in at 12 percent for 2014, in line with the
current average growth rate.
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In a separate report, the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences
predicted that real estate prices in Chinese cities would continue
to slide in 2015, with third- and fourth-tier cities hit hardest.
But it said the market would have a soft landing as local
governments take action to provide further policy support to the
market.
(Reporting by Pete Sweeney and William Zhang. Editing by Jane
Merriman)
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