The President has stated last Summer that he would not make a
decision on the building of the pipeline until he was certain there
would be no adverse effect on the environment. Even though all the
reports received so far, including the most recent one from the
State Department, so far has ensured the pipeline construction will
not create undue hazard to the environment. that assurance still may
not be enough for the President, however.
On Sunday during a Meet the Press interview, the President's
Chief-of-staff, Denis McDonough said the President will not make a
decision until he is for sure there will be no adverse environmental
impact. Further, the Chief-of-Staff said there are other federal
departs, Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) for instance, that
will have to complete a study and weigh in on the question. So it
appears a strategy being established for the President is for a long
line of federal agencies to begin studies so they can give their
findings to the President before he will make a decision. Of course
that may take much more time, perhaps months or even years. This has
not set well with the republicans of course, since they are calling
for the President to make his decision immediately.
The problem with keeping the Canadian government waiting is the
distinct possibility they will simply ship their oil to another
country, likely China. If they should decide to ship it across the
country by rail, the possibilities of having an oil disaster that
would significantly impact the environment is increased
significantly. Further, it would reduce the number of jobs created
if the pipeline was to be built. The other problem is the question
of how many studies does the President need to make up his mind.
With this fifth study that reported there is no significant danger
to the environment, it seems not only redundant to replicate the
study over again, but very expensive as well. Expensive not only in
money, but with manpower and time. That doesn't even count the loss
of the energy being delayed for good use in people's homes as
everyone waits for the President to make up his mind and demanding
more and more redundant studies.
It has become fairly clear the Keystone XL pipeline issue is a
political issue with both political parties. Of course that puts it
on the political agenda, which means the President is likely more
concerned with the political ramifications to himself and his party
than he is concerned with the environment, or jobs for that matter.
The unions have back the affirmative decision and has urged the
President to say yes to the pipeline. They are looking at the seven
billion dollar project as a great source of jobs for their members.
The republicans are largely in favor of the pipeline and are also
urging the President to decide for it. The democrats, on the other
hand, are divided on one side with the unions and jobs, and on the
other side with environmentalists who say the pipeline will be
damaging to the environment. Even though there is no real evidence
the pipeline will damage the environment; with the contrary being
the case for jobs. The almost 2,000 miles of pipeline that would
transport more than 800,000 barrels of crude oil per day, would
likely create as many as 2,000 jobs during the construction phase.
Additionally, jobs would be permanently created to service and
maintain the pipeline.
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So, what we have is an issue the President wants to delay a
decision for until he gets more information. Even though much
information has been obtained, with the majority of the study
results being favorable to building the pipeline, the President
still wants other federal departments to weigh in on the subject.
The estimated guess is that no decision will be made until sometime
in the Summer of 2014. I believe it has become so political the
President's main concern is how it will impact, not on the
environment, but on the mid-term election in November. If the
unions, jobs issues portion of the democrats gain the prevailing
argument for the building of the pipeline, the President will choose
that argument to side with and give approval for the construction.
But it will only be a few weeks before the election date.
It will be interesting to see the results of the "study" the EPA
will provide the President. Of course they will likely come down on
the side of a detrimental impact on the environment. The bottom line
will be once again the "finger in the air" regarding which way the
winds of victory for the democrats will be. If more Senators running
for re-election are in favor of the pipeline being built so they can
get on the bandwagon with the unions and the people wanting jobs,
the President will likely decide that way...again, however, not
until just before the election. If the environmentalists have more
Senators running for re-election and need the environmental issue as
a winning point, the President will likely agree with them. You can
be sure of one thing, no matter how many studies it will take from
federal agencies to stretch the time for making a decision closer to
the election time, and the issue that wins out with the most
"winnable" democrat Senators seeking re-election, that will be the
decision this Presidents makes. That will be irrespective of any
consideration of what will be good for the people of America.
[By JIM KILLEBREW]
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