Xi would not have been able to investigate someone as powerful as
Zhou without the agreement of senior party members and other retired
top officials, political analysts said.
But less clear is whether the elite is starting to get jittery over
Xi's expanding corruption crackdown, which is spreading fear
throughout the party and the government.
Xi's predecessors Hu Jintao and Jiang Zemin had approved the formal
investigation into Zhou, the most senior Chinese official to be
ensnared in a graft scandal since the party swept to power in 1949,
two sources with ties to the leadership said.
The party said in a brief statement on Tuesday that Zhou was being
investigated by the party's anti-corruption watchdog for suspected
"serious disciplinary violations", the usual euphemism for graft
although it could also imply other wrongdoing. The statement made no
mention of any laws being broken.
Zhou, 71, was the security tsar within the Politburo Standing
Committee - China's apex of power - for five years until he retired
in 2012.
"Jiang Zemin, Hu Jintao and Xi Jinping reached a consensus to deal
with Zhou Yongkang for violating party discipline," one of the
sources said.
Former top leaders in China usually wield a lot of influence behind
the scenes in a political system that prizes consensus
decision-making. Both Jiang and Hu, as former presidents and heads
of the party, also still have allies installed in office.
The party statement did not detail wrongdoing by Zhou, but the
sources said he had been accused of corruption involving family
members and political allies as well as accepting bribes to promote
officials.
"Not all charges against Zhou would be made public," added the
source, who requested anonymity to avoid repercussions for speaking
to a foreign reporter without authorization.
Zhou, who was last seen at an alumni celebration at the China
University of Petroleum on Oct. 1, could not be reached for comment.
It is not clear if he has a lawyer.
WHO'S NEXT?
The party statement on Zhou coincided with an announcement that its
205-member Central Committee would convene in October to
"comprehensively study the advancing of the rule by law".
Another source with leadership ties said Xi was considering a
proposal to let the Central Committee decide whether to press
criminal charges against Zhou after anti-corruption investigators
detailed their case, as opposed to having the matter dealt with
internally by the party.
"This would be a first if Xi decides to let the Central Committee
vote whether to put Zhou on trial," the source said.
By breaking an unwritten rule that members of the Standing Committee
would not come under scrutiny after retirement, Xi could risk
antagonizing other party elders who fear that they and their
families could be next if the crackdown does not ease off after
Zhou's investigation, political analysts said. Xi's campaign has already sown so much fear that many officials are
doing anything to stay out of trouble - from dithering over
approving major projects to seeking early retirement. Some top
executives under investigation at state-owned enterprises have
committed suicide.
About 30 senior officials at the provincial and ministerial level or
above have been put under investigation for corruption since
December 2012, state media has said.
The People's Daily newspaper, the party's mouthpiece, said the
crackdown was not about to end.
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"There will be no halt. Taking down Zhou Yongkang absolutely does
not put an end to anti-corruption (efforts). This is only one step
in a process. Going forward, whoever is corrupt will be punished,"
the newspaper said in a commentary. Reuters reported in early
December that Zhou had been placed under virtual house arrest after
Xi ordered a special task force to look into corruption accusations
against him.
Reuters also reported in March that Chinese authorities had seized
assets worth at least 90 billion yuan ($14.56 billion) from family
members and associates of Zhou. More than 300 of Zhou's relatives,
political allies and staff had been taken into custody or
questioned, said sources who had been briefed on the investigation.
Zhou's son Zhou Bin had also been arrested, the influential Chinese
magazine Caixin reported on its website after news of the
investigation into his father had been made public.
POWER STRUGGLE
But Zhou Yongkang's case is also about power.
Sources with ties to the Chinese leadership have said Xi wants to
bring down Zhou for allegedly plotting appointments to retain
influence ahead of the 18th party congress in November 2012, when Xi
took over the party.
Zhou had nominated Bo Xilai, a charismatic politician with
leadership ambitions, to succeed him as domestic security chief and
had tried to orchestrate the younger man's promotion to the Standing
Committee, the sources have said.
Bo later fell in a divisive scandal following accusations his wife
murdered a British businessman in 2011. Bo's wife was convicted over
the killing and Bo himself was jailed for corruption and abuse of
power last year.
Xi has made fighting pervasive graft a major theme of his
administration and has promised to go after "tigers" - or senior
officials - as well as "flies", or those of lower rank, as part of
his effort to try to restore the party's tarnished image.
It was unclear if Zhou would eventually be indicted.
Putting Zhou on trial might risk embarrassing revelations about the
party's inner workings coming to light, said another source.
"It's probably too dangerous for the party," said the source.
($1 = 6.1800 Chinese yuan)
(Additional reporting by Megha Rajagopalan and Michael Martina;
Editing by Dean Yates)
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