U.S.
funds upbeat on euro zone; allocations largely unchanged: Reuters poll
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[April 30, 2015]
By Siddharth Iyer
(Reuters) - U.S. fund managers tweaked
their recommended global allocations in April to reflect improving
sentiment in the euro zone but largely left maintained the status quo, a
Reuters poll found.
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Recommendations were mostly unchanged from March's model portfolio,
in which money managers cut global equity exposure and shifted to
fixed-income investments as the European Central Bank opened a
bond-buying program.
The model portfolio for April comprised 55 percent in equity
holdings and 36 percent in bonds, with the remainder spread fairly
evenly between cash and alternative assets. A small percentage was
invested in property.
The most notable change this month is that recommended allocations
in euro zone shares increased to 11.4 percent from 11.0 percent, the
highest in six months. The increase came at the expense of U.S. and
Canadian shares.
"The international space has become more attractive this year and we
have significantly increased our equity allocations there," said
Alan Gayle, fund manager at RidgeWorth Investments.
"We particularly like Europe, where attractive valuations are being
helped by quantitative easing and better-than-expected economic
reports."
In March, to restore economic growth and combat deflation, the
European Central Bank started buying around 60 billion euros a month
of mostly government bonds. The program is scheduled to run until
September next year.
Recent data showed euro zone bank lending stopped shrinking and rose
slightly for the first time in three years during March. Consumer
inflation expectations rose for a third straight month in April.
The ECB buying program has helped drive stock markets in Europe like
Germany's DAX <.GDAXI> to rally nearly 17 percent so far this year.
Although fund managers still recommend keeping a majority of equity
allocations in North America, they have been steadily cutting that
this year.
Weakening U.S. economic growth and a relatively strong dollar since
the beginning of the year has weighed on domestic firms' profits and
share prices.
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U.S. growth stalled in the first quarter to just 0.2 percent -
matching the most pessimistic view in a Reuters poll - as harsh
weather curbed consumer spending.
The Federal Reserve downgraded its view of the U.S. labor market and
economy on Wednesday in a policy statement that suggested the
central bank may wait until at least the third quarter to begin
raising interest rates.
Until recently, Reuters polls had suggested the Fed would act in
June. A survey last week changed that until the third quarter.
Markets are not pricing in a hike until December.
Within the fixed-income portfolio, fund managers recommended almost
70 percent in the U.S. and Canadian market, with European and
Japanese being the next most attractive investment.
Allocations to high-yielding bonds were cut to the lowest for at
least three years. Government bond recommendations rose slightly to
40.8 percent, suggesting fund managers have a risk-averse approach
to poor economic data.
(Additional reporting, analysis and polling by Ashrith Doddi;
Editing by Larry King)
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