U.S.
oil prices near six-year lows as China weighs
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[August 18, 2015]
By Lisa Barrington
LONDON (Reuters) - U.S. oil prices fell
towards six-year lows on Tuesday after stock markets tumbled in China,
the world's largest energy consumer, adding to worries about global fuel
demand at a time of heavy oversupply.
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Chinese stocks fell more than 6 percent on Tuesday as the yuan
weakened against the dollar, raising fears that Beijing may further
devalue the currency. Such a move could decrease China's consumption
and import levels.
Industrial metals, including copper, also traded near six-year lows,
adding to bearish market sentiment.
"That is dragging oil lower - it was in bearish territory to start
with," SEB chief commodity analyst Bjarne Schieldrop said.
U.S. crude futures <CLc1> were 20 cents weaker at $41.67 a barrel by
1050 GMT, close to their lowest since early 2009.
North Sea Brent was at $48.54 a barrel, down 20 cents but
still some way from its 2015 low of $45.19.
Both crude oil benchmarks have more than halved in value over the
last year. They rallied earlier in the year but are now almost a
third below their last peak in May. Data shows many speculators have
taken huge bets on further falls.
U.S. stockpiles are expected to rise in coming months as refiners
reduce operations for maintenance and the summer driving season
comes to an end, reducing demand for U.S. crude.
Many oil traders are positioning themselves to profit from a further
drop in U.S. prices, buying "puts" - options to sell contracts once
they have fallen to a particular level - at prices as low as $35 and
even $30 a barrel.
"The amount of queries we've received recently about leveraging bets
on further price falls has been astonishing," one broker said.
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"It now seems only a matter of time before Brent slips below the
6-1/2-month low of a good $48 per barrel that it recorded a week ago
and WTI falls below the 6-1/2-year low of $41.35 it reached at the
end of last week," Commerzbank said in a note to clients.
Underscoring the bearish sentiment, hedge funds cut their net long
holdings of Brent crude futures for a fourth straight week, exchange
data showed on Monday.
The long-term outlook is bearish, said BMI Research, part of the
Fitch ratings agency. It forecast "oil prices will remain anchored
until 2018" with global supply growth likely to outstrip the growth
in global consumption for the next two years.
(Additional reporting by Henning Gloystein and Jacob Gronholt-Pedersen
in Singapore; Editing by Christopher Johnson and Dale Hudson)
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