Euro zone inflation steady in August, easing pressure on ECB

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[August 31, 2015]  By Jan Strupczewski

BRUSSELS (Reuters) - Annual inflation in the euro zone was the same in August as in July, defying economists' expectations of a slowdown, as rising prices of unprocessed food and services offset some of the downward pull from cheaper energy.

In its first official estimate, European Union statistics office Eurostat said euro zone prices rose 0.2 percent year-on-year this month, the same as in July and more than the 0.1 percent forecast in a Reuters poll.

"Stable euro zone consumer price inflation in August eases pressure on the European Central Bank to consider increasing its stimulative efforts at its September policy meeting on Thursday, such as by front-loading more its QE program," IHS Global Insight economist Howard Archer said.

He expected no action from the ECB despite fears about China's economy that could affect growth prospects in Europe but said ECB President Mario Draghi might stress that the ECB is ready to act if inflation dips further or fails to pick up.

Cheaper energy was the biggest factor lowering the overall index, with energy prices 7.1 percent lower than in August 2014.

Oil prices have fallen from above $60 a barrel in early July to around $43 last week and economists said the effects of that fall may not be fully visible yet.

"It may be that the latest plunge in commodity and energy prices is not yet fully reflected in inflation data," said Carsten Brzeski, economist at ING.

Unprocessed food had the biggest upward impact on inflation, with prices rising rose 2.3 percent in annual terms.

Excluding both volatile energy and unprocessed food prices -- a measure the ECB calls core inflation -- consumer prices rose 0.9 percent year-on-year, the same as in July.

"Given the rapid change in the global economic climate, we do not think this figure will affect ECB policy," said Dominique Barbet, economist at BNP Paribas.

"On the contrary, that will help the central bank to buy time in this week's council meeting.

"The ECB needs to wait for dust to settle in order to better read the impact of recent financial market volatility onto the euro zone economy," he said.

(Additional reporting by Francesco Guarascio; Editing by Catherine Evans)

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