Oil
under pressure as World Bank cuts growth forecast
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[January 14, 2015] By
Libby George
LONDON (Reuters) - Oil prices pared early
losses on Wednesday but remained under pressure after the World Bank cut
its economic growth forecast, doing little to end a rout that saw prices
touch their lowest in nearly six years in the previous session.
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Oil and other commodities came under strain after the weaker outlook
from the Washington-based financial institution reinforced worries
about a gloomy economic outlook at a time when oil markets are
plagued by oversupply.
"We have quite bearish oil supply fundamentals, while there is still
a slowdown in global oil demand growth," said Myrto Sokou, senior
research analyst at Sucden Financial. "We are all of us just waiting
to see where the bottom is."
February Brent crude inched 12 cents higher to $46.71 a barrel by
1152 GMT, while West Texas Intermediate crude for February fell 6
cents to $45.83.
Oil prices that have fallen by about 60 percent since June are
wreaking havoc on economies that depend on commodities, with Russian
Finance Minister Anton Siluanov calling on Wednesday for a 10
percent spending cut on everything but defense.
At the same time, Europe is on shaky ground despite the European
Central Bank's bond-buying stimulus plan.
"The global economy is running on a single engine ... the American
one," the World Bank's chief economist, Kaushik Basu, said. "This
does not make for a rosy outlook for the world."
FORECASTS CUT
Analysts said prices would remain under pressure from oversupply,
prompting cuts to price forecasts for 2015 and 2016.
Oil had tumbled nearly 5 percent on Tuesday before closing down 1.8
percent, with global benchmark Brent briefly trading at par with
U.S. prices for the first time in three months as some traders moved
to take advantage of ample U.S. storage space.
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American stocks could be approaching 80 percent of capacity by the
spring, according to U.S.-based PIRA Energy Group.
Commercial crude stockpiles in the U.S. rose 3.9 million barrels
last week, the industry group American Petroleum Institute (API)
said. The Energy Information Administration's oil inventory report
is due at 1530 GMT on Wednesday.
Outside the United States, some of the world's biggest oil traders
have booked supertankers to store at least 25 million barrels at
sea.
"OPEC is not going to come to the rescue of the market," said Harry
Tchilinguirian, global head of commodity markets strategy at BNP
Paribas. "The onus is on floating storage."
Producer club OPEC has shown no sign of changing strategy since it
decided late last year to maintain output despite slowing Asian and
European economic growth.
(Additional reporting by Henning Gloystein and Florence Tan in
Singapore; Editing by Michael Urquhart and David Goodman)
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