Investors cheer Greek bailout approval

Send a link to a friend  Share

[July 16, 2015]  By Jamie McGeever

LONDON (Reuters) - Stocks jumped and euro zone bond yields fell on Thursday after Greece's parliament approved a bailout plan, while the dollar hit a six-week high after Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen reinforced expectations for a U.S. rate hike.

Relief was the dominant sentiment ahead of the European Central Bank's policy decision, as Athens's approval of the painful measures lessens the likelihood of its immediate exit from the euro zone.

"In light of the deal, the risks of a 'Grexit' have declined," Barclays economists said on Thursday.

The FTSEurofirst 300 index of leading European shares rose 1.3 percent to a seven-week high of 1,607 points <.FTEU3>, continuing the upward momentum across Asian stock markets, while Spanish bond yields fell to a six-week low.

The relief is likely to be temporary, however. The political climate in Greece is fragile, it remains to be seen whether the measures approved will be implemented, and as the International Monetary Fund said this week Greece's debt is unsustainable.

Also, Germany's finance minister repeated his view on Thursday that a temporary "Grexit" is a good idea.
 


But for now, investors are willing to give a cautious thumbs up.

"The Greek vote has helped the market post early gains. Over the next few weeks, we see the focus shifting to the results season where we expect the news flow to be supportive," Robert Parkes, director of equity strategy at HSBC Bank, said.

Euro zone stocks rose 1.5 percent to 3,676 points, and Germany's DAX rose 1.6 percent to 11,722 points, both seven-week peaks.

U.S. stock futures pointed to a rise of 0.4 percent at the open on Wall Street.  Second quarter earnings reports from blue chips such as Citi, Goldman Sachs and Google are scheduled for later on Thursday.

Earlier, Japan's Nikkei rose 0.7 percent, Shanghai stocks rose 0.5 percent and MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan was up 0.3 percent.

FED LIFT OFF IN SEPTEMBER?

The Greek parliament passed a sweeping bundle of austerity measures demanded by European partners, a price to pay for opening talks on a multi-billion euro bailout package near-bankrupt Athens needs to stay in the euro zone.

Ten-year Spanish bonds, often seen as a barometer of investor confidence and risk appetite, rose in price to push the yield down to a six-week low of 2 percent.

The German 10-year yield inched up to 0.79 percent  and benchmark Treasury yields were up 2 basis points at 2.37 percent.

Investors in Europe will now turn their attention to the ECB meeting and in particular what president Mario Draghi says about the funding of Greek banks, which have been closed for over two weeks.

[to top of second column]

U.S. bonds and currency markets took their cue more from Fed chair Janet Yellen's testimony to Congress on Wednesday than events in Greece. Yellen repeated her view that the Fed will likely hike interest rates this year if the U.S. economy expands as expected.

The favorable interest rate outlook lifted the trade-weighted value of the dollar to a six-week high of 97.6 on Thursday, and pushed the euro below $1.09  for the first time in seven weeks.

"Although our baseline is a December hike, the probability of a September hike remains significant," Goldman Sachs U.S. economics team said in a note to clients.

Elsewhere in currencies, the Canadian dollar was at C$1.2940 per U.S. dollar after touching C$1.2958, its lowest since March 2009 after the Bank of Canada on Wednesday cut interest rates for the second time this year.

The New Zealand dollar slumped after weaker-than-expected inflation data and plunging dairy prices cemented expectations for a rate cut there as early as next week.

The kiwi skidded to $0.6498 a low not seen since July 2009. It was last trading down 1 percent at $0.6525.

In commodities, crude oil rose after data showed that U.S. crude inventories dropped and refinery demand was high. [O/R]

U.S. crude  rose 1 percent to $51.95 a barrel after dropping 3 percent on Wednesday when expectations that increased exports from Iran will add to a global supply glut. Brent was up 1.3 percent at $57.80 a barrel.

Tuesday's nuclear agreement between six world powers and Iran is expected to result in the lifting of sanctions, which have limited sales of Iranian oil for several years.

Gold struggled under the weight of the strong dollar, slumping to a four-month low of $1,143.30 per ounce.

Platinum slid to $1,000 per ounce, the lowest since February 2009.

(Additional reporting by Shinichi Saoshiro and Ayai Tomisawa in Tokyo, Atul Prakash in London; Editing by Hugh Lawson; To read Reuters Global Investing Blog click on http://blogs.reuters.com/globalinvesting; for the MacroScope Blog click on http://blogs.reuters.com/macroscope; for Hedge Fund Blog Hub click on http://blogs.reuters.com/hedgehub)

[© 2015 Thomson Reuters. All rights reserved.]

Copyright 2015 Reuters. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten or redistributed.

Back to top