Gold loses traction,
closes in on five-and-a-half-year low
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[July 27, 2015]
By Veronica Brown
and Manolo Serapio Jr
LONDON (Reuters) - Gold lost ground on
Monday, moving closer to last week's 5-1/2 year lows below $1,100 per
ounce, with expectations for a near-term U.S. interest rate hike seen
keeping momentum firmly with the bears.
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While the market has been fixated on U.S. monetary policy, traders
said further selling on Monday may have come on the back of a need
to cover losses elsewhere as Chinese stock market indexes
experienced their biggest one-day loss since 2007.
The Federal Reserve will hold a two-day meeting this week where
policymakers are likely to send more signals pointing to a rate rise
later in the year as the U.S. economy strengthens.
Spot gold <XAU=> was down 0.5 percent at $1,092.90 an ounce by 1158
GMT (0758 EDT), after falling for a fifth straight week last week,
the longest slide since late 2012.
U.S. gold for August delivery <GCcv1> was up 0.6 percent at $1,092
an ounce.
Bullion lost more than 3 percent last week after a sudden, sharp
rout across New York and Shanghai markets sparked further selling,
sinking prices to $1,077 on Friday, their lowest since February
2010.
"Gold was doing OK for a while today but that didn't last very long
as sentiment is pretty much overwhelmingly one-sided," SocGen
analyst Robin Bhar said.
"It shouldn't be a major surprise as we are very much stuck in a
bear trend."
The drop in gold came despite the dollar staying on the back foot <.DXY>,
falling against a basket of currencies after a drop in U.S. stocks
and bond yields.
U.S. speculators turned bearish on Comex gold for the first time
since at least 2006 in the week ended July 21, U.S. government data
showed on Friday.
Holdings of the world's biggest gold-backed exchange-traded fund,
the SPDR Gold Trust <GLD>, also fell for a seventh day on Friday to
21.87 million ounces, the lowest since September 2008. [GOL/ETF]
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The U.S. rate outlook kept a tight grip on sentiment.
Based on forecasts mistakenly released on Friday, staff economists
at the Federal Reserve expect a quarter-point rate increase this
year. The Fed later said it was not the correct document and gave a
new table showing a slightly lower forecast for gross domestic
product and inflation in 2015.
At this week's meeting, the Fed is unlikely to deviate from its
recent policy statement or Fed Chair Janet Yellen's congressional
testimony this month, Mizuho Bank said.
"The most likely outcome is that Fed rhetoric will emphasize that
the U.S. economy is on track for a rate hike(s) this year," the bank
said in a note.
In other precious metals, spot palladium <XPD=> fell 0.2 percent to
$621.25 an ounce and platinum <XPT=> lost 0.7 percent to $975.74.
Silver <XAG=> was down 0.5 percent at $14.56.
(Editing by Jason Neely and Pravin Char)
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