Dollar at week's peak after Fed tiptoes towards rate move

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[July 30, 2015]  By Patrick Graham

LONDON (Reuters) - The dollar rose to its highest level this week on Thursday after the U.S. Federal Reserve took another small step towards raising interest rates, reinvigorating those betting on another surge for the dollar if and when the Fed delivers.

As expected, the Fed gave no clear indication on timing but what it did say was enough to encourage those analysts who have been sticking with forecasts for a September rate rise even as the market priced them out in recent weeks.

In morning trade in Europe, the euro was down a cent against the dollar compared with levels seen before the Fed made its monthly policy statement on Wednesday, falling back to around $1.0950 <EUR=EBS>, its lowest since last Friday.

The dollar index rose a further 0.4 percent from the U.S. close to 97.320. <.DXY>. It was also 0.3 percent higher at 124.35 yen. <JPY=>

"The fact they weren't worried about anything else outside the U.S. economy -- China or any of the other risks out there -- has allowed people to move on," Bank of New York Mellon head of global research Simon Derrick said.

He said that pointed to further falls in commodities prices and currencies closely linked to them. The Canadian dollar <CAD=> and Norwegian crown <NOK=> were down 0.2 percent, and the New Zealand dollar 0.8 percent. <NZD=>

"It seems unlikely that the outlook for the Aussie, kiwi, crown or Canadian dollar will brighten up going into a Fed lift-off in September," said Valentin Marinov, head of G10 currency research at French bank Credit Agricole.

"Our analysis suggests that NOK and CAD should be more

resilient than AUD and NZD to any risk sell-off in response to a Fed lift-off."

Second quarter U.S. gross domestic product data due later in the session could spur bets that the Fed will move in September.

"We're seeing some pretty good follow-through, in terms of U.S. dollar-buying," RBC Capital Markets' senior currency strategist Sue Trinh said.

"It's not a done deal, but we are still of the view that a September lift-off is on the cards, contingent on the view that the data out of the U.S. continues to be firm."

One other mover was the Swedish crown, which rose around half a percent against the euro <EURSEK=> on a better-than-expected reading of second-quarter GDP numbers.

The Swedish economy, which had been struggling against the threat of deflation, expanded by 3 percent year on year, the data showed. By 1052 GMT, the crown, which hit its lowest since February on Wednesday, was up 0.2 percent at 9.4550 crowns.

(Additional reporting by Lisa Twaronite in TOKYO; Editing by Catherine Evans)

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