North Sea Brent crude oil <LCOc1> traded within a narrow 58-cent
range as investors eyed a very weak physical crude market in the
Atlantic basin amid reports of stronger demand for gasoline and
diesel in the United States and Europe.
Official prices for Nigerian crude have hit their lowest in at least
a decade with as much as 10 million barrels of unsold light, sweet
crude oil capping Atlantic basin prices.
But demand for oil products is fairly strong. U.S. gasoline demand
in the week to June 19 hit the highest seasonal level since 1991,
according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA).
Brent for August <LCOc1> was up 20 cents at $63.69 a barrel by 7.10
a.m. EDT, after ending the previous day down 96 cents, or 1.5
percent. U.S. crude for August <CLc1> was down 20 cents at $60.07 a
barrel, after finishing Wednesday down 74 cents.
"Reports of unsold physical cargoes in the North Sea combined with a
Brent crude oil contango that shows no signs of tightening are a
warning that the market is currently not tightening up into the high
demand season as one should expect," said Bjarne Schieldrop, analyst
at SEB Markets in Oslo.
An EIA report on Wednesday said U.S. gasoline stocks climbed 680,000
barrels to 218.49 million in the week to June 19. A Reuters poll had
indicated a 304,000-barrel drop.
U.S. crude stocks declined for the eighth straight week, by 4.9
million barrels to 462.99 million, in the week ending June 19,
compared with analyst expectations of a 2.1 million barrel draw, the
EIA said.
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"There is not a clear direction," said Myrto Sokou of Sucden.
"That's why you see this consolidation today."
Traders awaited U.S. economic data, including weekly jobless claims,
due later on Thursday. Any signs of further economic growth in the
United States would be a positive demand signal for oil, analysts
say.
UBS raised its average 2015 Brent crude price forecast on Thursday
to $61.50 per barrel from $56.25 per barrel earlier, while it
increased its average 2015 U.S. crude price outlook to $56 a barrel,
up from $51.
Its revised 2016 forecasts were $70 per barrel for Brent and $67.50
per barrel for U.S. crude.
(Additional reporting by Keith Wallis in Singapore; Editing by
Michael Perry and Joseph Radford)
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